Centene Corporation
Sector unknown·CNC · USA (SEC 10-K)·Fiscal year to 31/12/2025
Business OVERVIEW Our mission is to transform the health of the communities we serve, one person at a time. As the nation's largest managed care company focused on underserved populations, Centene is committed to helping people live healthier lives. Centene offers affordable and high-quality products to more than 1 in 15 individuals across the nation, including Medicaid and Medicare members (including Medicare Prescription Drug Plans) as well as individuals and families served by the Health Insurance Marketplace.
Exposure profile
Derived from what the company itself writes. Empty directions mean the report doesn't mention themes of that type.
In their own words
Grouped by theme, from the management review in the annual report. A · The company itself is a verbatim quote, B · From the report is without a verified quote.
Healthcare and hospitals
End markets
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“CMS estimates Medicaid spending will grow at an average annual rate of 7% to $1.5 trillion by 2031.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“CMS estimates Medicare spending will grow at an average annual rate of 8% to $1.9 trillion by 2031.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), passed in July 2025, includes requirements that may reduce the number of members eligible for state Medicaid Expansion programs by requiring work or community engagement by members and for state Medicaid agencies to redetermine member eligibility at more frequent intervals, along with adding a "Cost Sharing" or "Co-Pay" for certain medical services. These changes could have the effect of increasing the overall morbidity of the Medicaid Expansion population largely beginning in 2027, subject to state implementation plans.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“Plans receive additional Medicare revenue related to the achievement of higher Star ratings that can be used to offer more attractive benefit packages to members and/or achieve higher profit margins.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Part C or Part D Medicare plans with Star ratings of fewer than three stars for three consecutive years are denoted as "low performing" plans on the CMS website and in the CMS "Medicare and You" handbook. In addition, CMS has the authority to terminate the Medicare Advantage and PDP contracts for plans rated below three Stars for three consecutive years for any Part (C or D).”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“Government agencies evaluate multiple factors before awarding contracts, including quality of care, provider network access, administrative efficiency, financial strength, prior performance, and local market investments. Competition also extends to member acquisition and retention. Individuals typically select health plans based on quality of care and services, provider network inclusion, ease of access, and supplemental benefits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Risks Relating to Our Business Failure to timely and effectively identify and mitigate medical cost trends and receive adequate rate adjustments to account for increased acuity could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows. Our profitability depends to a significant degree on our ability to accurately estimate and effectively manage expenses related to health benefits through, among other things, our ability to contract favorably with hospitals, physicians and other healthcare providers, as well as related administrative costs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition, during 2025, our Medicaid membership had higher than expected medical costs, including due to unanticipated increased costs in behavioral health, home health and high-cost drugs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In particular, as part of the Medicaid rate setting process, state actuaries determine actuarial soundness of rates based on historical data. The delay in time between making claims payments and receiving rate adjustments when we experience an increased rate of change in medical expenses, whether due to the increased acuity profile of the membership or the increased utilization of health care services, such as behavioral health, home health and high-cost drugs, may cause the profitability of our Medicaid plans to be reduced.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In the Health Insurance Marketplace, we may be adversely impacted if we have not accurately and timely predicted the health needs of our members, including individuals exiting or entering the market, causing the morbidity of the risk pool to rise without a proportionate change to risk adjustment.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition, the risk adjustment provisions of the ACA established to apportion risk amongst insurers may not be effective in appropriately mitigating the financial risks related to the Health Insurance Marketplace product, are affected by our members' acuity relative to the membership acuity of other insurers and are subject to a high degree of estimation and variability, including estimation of the ultimate level of program funding based on the financial performance of other insurers.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“For example, late in the second quarter of 2025, we made a significant negative adjustment to our expected net risk adjustment revenue attributable to the 2025 Marketplace plan year.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“If we fail to design and maintain programs that are attractive to Medicare participants; if our Medicare operations are subject to negative outcomes from program audits, sanctions, penalties or other actions; if we do not submit adequate bids in our existing markets or any expansion markets; if our existing contracts are modified or terminated; or if we fail to maintain or improve our quality Star ratings, our current Medicare business and our ability to expand our Medicare operations could be materially and adversely affected, negatively impacting our results of operations and financial performance.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“As of December 2025, approximately 60% of our Medicare Advantage membership was associated with contracts rated 3.5 stars or better.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Star ratings are subject to change annually by CMS, and despite our operational efforts to improve our Star ratings, there can be no assurances that we will be successful in maintaining or improving our Star ratings in future years, which could negatively impact our quality bonus and rebates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition, our Medicare Advantage and PDP contracts may be terminated by CMS if our Medicare Advantage contracts receive Star ratings of below 3.0 stars for three consecutive years. For example, two of our Medicare Advantage contracts received notice of termination for plan year 2025.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“CMS establishes annually different pricing components of the Medicare Advantage program that may not adequately reflect changes in the underlying health care costs, and which may reduce the profitability or desirability of various Medicare Advantage plans. For calendar year 2026, CMS again applied a negative rate adjustment for risk model revisions and fee for service normalization.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Risk-adjustment payment systems make our revenue and results of operations more difficult to estimate and could result in retroactive adjustments that have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The data provided to our government customers to determine the risk score is subject to audit by them even after the annual settlements occur. These audits may result in the refund of premiums to the government customer previously received by us, which could be significant and would reduce our premium revenue in the year that repayment is required.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In 2023, CMS announced the removal of the fee-for-service adjuster from the risk adjustment data validation audit methodology beginning for audit year 2018, which could increase our audit error scores. Additionally in 2025, CMS announced the intent to accelerate the timing and expand the scope of risk adjustment data validation audits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Based on the most recent publicly available membership data, we are the nation's largest Medicaid and Marketplace insurer, as well as the largest stand-alone PDP provider.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“We are the largest Medicaid health insurer in the country, serving 12.5 million Medicaid members in 30 states as of December 31, 2025.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“We continuously improve our claims processing strategies, expertise, configuration and tools to achieve operational excellence, including timely payments to our providers. •Care management for complex populations. Through our experience with Medicaid populations and long-time presence in states with experience in long-term care for children and adolescents in the foster care system, we have developed care management, service coordination and crisis prevention/response programs that improve healthcare outcomes through decreasing preventable emergency department utilization and improving access to primary care and behavioral health intervention.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Centene was established as a Medicaid company, anchored around long-lasting, trusted relationships, with a continual focus on low-income populations. Since our founding more than 40 years ago, we have forged new paths developing innovative solutions and addressing the evolving needs of our members, earning Centene an important seat at the table and a powerful voice to shape the conversation at the state and federal level.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Business OVERVIEW Our mission is to transform the health of the communities we serve, one person at a time. As the nation's largest managed care company focused on underserved populations, Centene is committed to helping people live healthier lives. Centene offers affordable and high-quality products to more than 1 in 15 individuals across the nation, including Medicaid and Medicare members (including Medicare Prescription Drug Plans) as well as individuals and families served by the Health Insurance Marketplace.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“For the year ended December 31, 2025, our Medicaid, Commercial, Medicare and Other segments accounted for 57%, 21%, 19% and 3%, respectively, of our total external revenues.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“For the year ended December 31, 2025, our total revenues were $194.8 billion and our total cash flow from operations was $5.1 billion.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Community Medical Group (CMG) provides clinical healthcare, encompassing primary care, access to certain specialty services and a suite of social and other support services. CMG operates in Florida through an at-risk primary care provider model, focusing on clinical and social care for at-risk beneficiaries.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Organization and Operations Centene Corporation, or the Company, is a leading provider of government-sponsored healthcare. Centene's focus is on improving health and health care for low-income populations with complex needs. The Company provides access to high-quality healthcare, innovative programs and a wide range of health solutions that help families and individuals get well, stay well and be well.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Table of Contents Providers For each of our service areas, we establish a provider network consisting of primary and specialty care physicians, hospitals, behavioral health practitioners and ancillary providers. Our network of primary care physicians is a critical component of care delivery, healthcare affordability, and the attraction and retention of new members.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Table of Contents We provide Medicare Advantage, PDPs, D-SNPs and MMPs pursuant to contracts with CMS and subject to federal regulation regarding the award, administration and performance of such contracts.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The majority of our revenues come from government subsidized healthcare programs including Medicaid, Medicare, CHIP, LTSS, ABD, Foster Care and Health Insurance Marketplace premiums.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Ageing population strengthens, GLP-1 and obesity treatment mixed effect
Labour and wages
Raw materials and inputs
InputNegative impact: weakens
“For example, we entered into a partnership with the National Association of Community Health Centers to enhance value-based care adoption, further strengthening Community Health Centers' ability to deliver high-quality, patient-centered care and improve maternal child health outcomes. •People.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“HUMAN CAPITAL RESOURCES As of December 31, 2025, we had approximately 61,100 team members.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“We are highly dependent on our ability to attract, develop and retain qualified personnel to operate and expand our business. We face intense competition for experienced and highly skilled team members, and we may be unable to attract and retain such team members, or competition among potential employers may result in increasing compensation.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Compensation and Other Benefits We have a pay-for-performance compensation philosophy and are committed to fair and competitive compensation practices designed to retain and attract top talent. We align our team members' compensation with their skills, experiences, contributions and performance. We offer benefits to our team members to help them achieve optimum work-life balance and meet their needs as well as the needs of their families.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Artificial intelligence
Technology
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Further, as connectivity of technology advances, artificial intelligence and business processes supported by large language models that are used by us, our healthcare providers, our brokers, or our third-party vendors may not operate as expected or may give rise to risks related to accuracy, bias, discrimination, intellectual property infringement, cybersecurity and data privacy, among others. The development and use of artificial intelligence technologies is still in its early stages, and as a result it is not possible to predict all of the risks and potentially unintended consequences related to the use of artificial intelligence by us, our health care providers, our brokers or our third-party vendors.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We increasingly rely on new and evolving technologies, including those powered by or incorporating artificial intelligence, as part of our internal operations and in the delivery of our products and services. These new technologies could present ethical, technological, legal, regulatory and other risks. We are required by certain regulators to develop and implement policies and procedures to promote and sustain the responsible design, development, and use of artificial intelligence. Any inadequacy or failure in designing, implementing or complying with such policies and procedures, or failure in complying with emerging laws, regulations and standards governing artificial intelligence, could adversely affect our operations that use or rely on artificial intelligence, or could materially and adversely affect our business, reputation, results of operations, financial position and cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“We contract with various third-party vendors to perform certain functions and services, including for pharmacy benefits management, medical management and other member-related services as well as technology services, including AI.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Data centres, strengthens Semiconductors and electronic components, strengthens Semiconductor industry
Public sector
End markets
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Federal funding remains critical to the viability of these programs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition, as a result of the expiration of the public health emergency (PHE) due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and the resulting Medicaid redeterminations process, as well as changes in state benefit designs, we have continued to experience a higher HBR related to the remaining members, due to the acuity profile of this membership, as well as the gaps in eligibility for certain members who have rejoined the Medicaid plans.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Revenue Recognition The Company's health plans generate revenues primarily from premiums received from the states in which it operates health plans, premiums received from its members and CMS for its Medicare products and premiums from members of its commercial health plans. In addition to member premium payments, its Marketplace contracts also generate revenues from subsidies received from CMS.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“A substantial portion of our business relates to the provision of managed care programs and selected services to individuals receiving benefits under governmental assistance or entitlement programs. We provide these and other healthcare services under contracts with government entities in the geographic areas in which we operate.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The majority of our revenues come from government subsidized healthcare programs including Medicaid, Medicare, CHIP, LTSS, ABD, Foster Care and Health Insurance Marketplace premiums.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The Company operates in four segments: (1) a Medicaid segment, (2) a Medicare segment, (3) a Commercial segment and (4) an Other segment. The Medicaid, Medicare and Commercial segments primarily represent the government-sponsored or subsidized programs under which the Company offers managed healthcare services.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Specifically, the Medicaid segment includes the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) program, Medicaid Expansion programs, the Aged, Blind or Disabled (ABD) program, the Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP), Long-Term Services and Supports (LTSS), Foster Care, Medicare-Medicaid Plans (MMP), which cover beneficiaries who are dually eligible for Medicaid and Medicare and other state-based programs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The Medicare segment includes Medicare Advantage, D-SNPs, Medicare Prescription Drug Plans (PDPs), also known as Medicare Part D, and Medicare Supplement.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Activity in the allowance for uncollectible accounts is summarized below ($ in millions): Year Ended December 31, 2025 2024 2023 Balance, January 1 $ 111 $ 120 $ 130 Amounts charged to expense 99 68 58 Recoveries (3) — — Write-offs of uncollectible receivables (73) Significant Customers The Company receives the majority of its revenues under contracts or subcontracts with state Medicaid managed care programs. None of the Company's customers exceeded 10% of total annual revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
M&A and consolidation
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“When our contracts with government entities expire, they may be opened for bidding by competing healthcare providers, and there is no guarantee that our contracts will be renewed or extended.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In some markets, certain healthcare providers, particularly hospitals, physician/hospital organizations or multi-specialty physician groups, may have significant market positions or near monopolies that could result in diminished bargaining power on our part.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“Risks Associated with Mergers, Acquisitions, and Divestitures Our business and results of operations may be materially adversely affected if we fail to manage and complete divestitures. We regularly evaluate our portfolio to determine whether an asset or business is still consistent with our business strategy or whether there may be a more advantaged owner for that asset or business. When we decide to sell assets or a business, we may encounter difficulty finding buyers or alternative exit strategies, which could delay the achievement of our business strategy. Further, divestitures may be delayed due to failure to obtain required approvals on a timely basis, if at all, from governmental authorities, or may become more difficult to execute due to conditions placed upon approval that could, among other things, delay or prevent us from completing a transaction, or otherwise restrict our ability to realize the expected financial or strategic goals of a transaction.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Previous or future acquisitions may not perform as expected and we may not realize the financial results expected from acquisitions or divestitures. The market price of our common stock is generally subject to volatility, and there can be no assurances regarding the level or stability of our share price at any time. The market price of our common stock may decline as a result of previous or future acquisitions and divestitures if, among other things, we are unable to achieve the expected cost and revenue synergies or growth in earnings, the operational cost savings estimates are not realized as rapidly or to the extent anticipated, the transaction costs related to the acquisitions or divestitures are greater than expected or if any financing related to the transactions is on unfavorable terms.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“We may be unable to successfully integrate our existing business with acquired businesses and realize the anticipated benefits of such acquisitions. We have acquired or may acquire in the future health plans participating in government-sponsored healthcare programs, contract rights and related assets of other health plans both in our existing service areas and in new markets and start-up operations in new markets or new products in existing markets. Although we review the records of companies or businesses we plan to acquire, it is possible that we could assume unanticipated liabilities or adverse operating conditions. In addition, the success of acquisitions we make will depend, in part, on our ability to successfully combine our existing business with such acquired businesses and realize the anticipated benefits, including synergies, cost savings, growth in earnings, innovation and operational efficiencies, from the combinations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Ageing population
Geography
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition, CMS' risk model may not account for the full severity of several chronic conditions, which could also disproportionately affect the dual-eligible population which is more medically complex and faces additional socio-economic barriers to health compared to others. As a result of these changes and potential future changes to Medicare Advantage pricing components, we may not be able to design products that will be profitable, attractive or competitive for this population.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The largest share of LTSS spending is for older adults and individuals with physical disabilities, followed by individuals with intellectual and developmental disabilities, serious mental illness or other complex needs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“According to CMS, there were approximately 12 million dual-eligible enrollees in 2025.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Medicare Medicare is the federal health insurance program for people ages 65 and over, which was expanded to cover people under 65 with certain disabilities and people with end-stage renal disease requiring dialysis or kidney transplant.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Healthcare and hospitals, strengthens Medical devices, strengthens Hearing aids and hearing care
Consumer spending
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We anticipate that the combined effect of the expiration of the Enhanced APTCs, the Final Rule, and the OBBBA will reduce 2026 Marketplace membership and continue to increase the overall morbidity of the Marketplace population.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Further, changes in the competitive market for both Health Insurance Marketplace and the Medicare products over time, unanticipated changes to member eligibility requirements or verification processes in the program design, including due to changes to the expiration of the Enhanced APTCs and the timing of those changes, additional program integrity initiatives that have the effect of reducing membership or causing the morbidity of the risk pool to rise, changes in consumer or provider behavior, or changes in the financial incentives of individuals, brokers and competitors to participate in such products may make pricing difficult to predict.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The ACA created the Health Insurance Marketplace, which is a key component of the ACA and provides an opportunity for individuals and families to obtain health insurance.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“The Commercial segment includes the Health Insurance Marketplace product along with individual and commercial group, Individual Coverage Health Reimbursement Arrangement (ICHRA) and other off-exchange individual products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Inflation weakens
Chains out: this strengthens Retail, strengthens Hospitality and leisure, strengthens Premium consumers, strengthens Grocery retail and private label
Business cycle and GDP growth
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes in these programs, including due to executive orders or other regulatory actions from the current political administration, could change the number of persons enrolled in or eligible for these programs, reduce funding, delay funding and increase our administrative and healthcare costs under these programs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Integrated D-SNPs are designed to enhance the coordination of care and streamline services while delivering improved outcomes.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Under Medicare Advantage, MCOs contract with CMS to provide services directly to Medicare beneficiaries as well as through employer and union groups.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Global trade volumes, strengthens Construction
Medical devices
Technology
Market
“Other Our Other segment includes: •Specialty Pharmacy. AcariaHealth provides specialty pharmacy services for patients with complex and chronic conditions.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“•Vision and Dental Services. Our fully integrated vision and dental health programs include benefits beyond traditional medical benefits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Magellan Health, Inc. (Magellan Health) supports innovative ways of accessing better health through technology, while remaining focused on the critical personal relationships that are necessary to achieve a healthy, vibrant life.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Ageing population strengthens
Hybrid work and office use
Macro
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Modernized and Connected Workforce We have adopted a modern work environment with the majority of our team members leveraging remote and hybrid work arrangements, allowing them to do their best work in the way they work best.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Office and commercial property
Industrial manufacturing
End markets
Market
“If we are unable to maintain relationships with our provider networks and timely update our provider directories, our profitability may be materially adversely affected. Our profitability depends, in large part, upon our ability to contract at competitive prices with hospitals, physicians, and other healthcare providers.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Financial regulation
Regulation
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes in the regulatory environment and applicable laws and rules also may occur periodically, including in connection with changes in political party or administration at the state and federal levels.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“For example, under state MCO statutes and insurance laws, our health plan subsidiaries, as well as companies within our Other segment, must comply with minimum statutory capital and other financial solvency requirements, such as deposit and surplus requirements.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“States have adopted a number of laws and regulations that may affect our business and results of operations. These laws and regulations, in certain states, include: •premium taxes or similar assessments imposed on us; •stringent prompt payment laws requiring us to pay claims within a specified period of time; •mandated coverage of specific drugs or services; •state-specific medical loss ratios that may be more stringent than federal requirements; •disclosure requirements regarding provider fee schedules and coding procedures; and •programs to monitor and supervise the activities and financial solvency of provider groups.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The contracts generally are subject to termination for cause, an event of default or lack of funding, among other things.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Pertinent fraud, waste and abuse laws include the federal False Claims Act, which prohibits the known filing of a false claim or the known use of false statements to obtain payment from the federal government. Many states have their own statutes that closely resemble the federal False Claims Act.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Privacy Regulations We are subject to various federal, state and local laws and rules regarding the use, security and disclosure of protected health information, personal information and other categories of confidential or legally protected data that our businesses handle.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Table of Contents In addition, we process and maintain personal card data, particularly in connection with our Marketplace business. As a result, we must maintain compliance with the Payment Card Industry Data Security Standard, which is a multifaceted security standard intended to optimize the security of credit, debit and cash card transactions and protect cardholders against misuse of their personal information.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We are also subject to various reviews, audits and investigations, as well as self-reporting requirements, to verify our compliance with the terms of our contracts with various governmental agencies, as well as compliance with applicable laws and regulations. Any non-compliance with our government contracts or with applicable laws and regulations, adverse review, audit or investigation, could result in, among other things: cancellation of our contracts; refunding of amounts we have been paid pursuant to our contracts; imposition of fines, penalties and other sanctions on us; loss of our right to participate in various programs; increased difficulty in selling our products and services; loss or suspension of one or more of our licenses; lowered quality Star ratings; harm to our reputation; or required changes to the way we do business.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Our business is extensively regulated by the states in which we operate and by the federal government. Changes in political party, or administrations at the state or federal level may change the attitude or public commentary towards healthcare programs and result in changes to the existing legislative or regulatory environment, changes in the application of existing laws and regulations, or changes to funding available for healthcare programs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Table of Contents In addition, CMS regulations will require beneficiaries dually enrolled in Medicare and in a Medicaid managed care plan to receive integrated care through the Medicaid company's Medicare Advantage D-SNPs beginning in 2030, with certain restrictions beginning in 2027, which may restrict our product offerings in some geographic service areas.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“If we fail to comply with the extensive federal and state fraud, waste and abuse laws, our business, reputation, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows could be materially and adversely affected. We, along with other companies involved in public healthcare programs, have been, and from time to time are, the subject of federal and state fraud, waste and abuse investigations. The regulations and contractual requirements applicable to participants in these public sector programs are complex and subject to change. Violations of fraud, waste and abuse laws applicable to us could result in civil monetary penalties, criminal fines and imprisonment and/or exclusion from participation in Medicaid, Medicare, and other federal healthcare programs and federally funded state health programs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Tax laws might change in ways that adversely affect our tax positions, effective tax rate and cash flow. For example, on November 14, 2025, CMS issued guidance to implement the OBBBA's requirement that states can no longer impose higher tax rates on Medicaid MCOs than commercial insurance by the end of the fiscal year ending in 2026. If the states increase the tax rates applicable to our Marketplace line of business during 2026, we cannot offset those increases by increasing premiums, as our Marketplace rates were approved and determined in 2025, which could have a material impact on the profitability of our Marketplace products, results of operations, financial condition and cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Table of Contents The Company's contracts with states and CMS may require it to maintain a minimum medical loss ratio (MLR) or may require it to share cost-savings in excess of certain levels. In certain circumstances, including commercial plans, its plans may be required to return premium to the state or policyholders in the event costs are below established levels.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In October 2017, the Trump Administration issued an executive order that immediately ceased payments of CSRs to issuers, and beginning in 2018, premium rates for Health Insurance Marketplace were set without factoring in the cost sharing subsidy payments from the federal government. In 2024, the Company reached an agreement with the federal government to retroactively compensate the Company for the difference between its actual CSR experience and its pricing assumptions for 2018 through 2020.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Interest rates
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Such indebtedness could reduce our agility and may adversely affect our financial condition; Risks Associated with Mergers, Acquisitions, and Divestitures •Our business and results of operations may be materially adversely affected if we fail to manage and complete divestitures; •Previous or future acquisitions may not perform as expected and we may not realize the financial results expected from acquisitions or divestitures; and •We may be unable to successfully integrate our existing business with acquired businesses and realize the anticipated benefits of such acquisitions.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes in healthcare regulations and practices, including due to the OBBBA, the level of utilization of healthcare services, including due to eligibility changes, benefit design, provider or consumer behavior changes, out-of-network utilization and pricing, medical claim submission patterns, including due to the use of artificial intelligence, hospital and pharmaceutical costs, including new high-cost specialty drugs, unexpected events, such as natural disasters, the effects of climate change, acts of war or aggression, geopolitical instability, major epidemics, pandemics and their resurgence, or newly emergent diseases, new medical technologies, increases in provider fraud, tariffs, unexpected increases in taxes and fees, including provider taxes, and other external factors, including general economic conditions such as interest rates, inflation and unemployment levels, are generally beyond our control and could reduce our ability to accurately predict and effectively control the costs of providing health benefits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Payments from government payors may be delayed in the future, which, if extended for any significant period of time, could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition, cash flows or liquidity. For example, we have a receivable due to us from CMS for Part D risk-sharing programs attributable to the 2025 plan year that we expect to be paid by CMS within a year after the plan year closes.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Adverse credit market conditions may have a material adverse effect on our liquidity or our ability to obtain credit on acceptable terms. In the past, the securities and credit markets have experienced volatility and disruption. The availability of credit, from virtually all types of lenders, has at times been restricted. In the event we need access to additional capital to pay our operating expenses, fund subsidiary surplus requirements, make payments on or refinance our indebtedness, pay capital expenditures or fund acquisitions, our ability to obtain such capital may be limited and the cost of any such capital may be significant, particularly if we are unable to access our existing Revolving Credit Facility.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We are also exposed to interest rate risk to the extent of our variable rate indebtedness. Changes in interest rates can increase our cost of borrowing, and volatility in U.S. and global financial markets could impact our access to, or further increase the cost of, financing.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Our market risk exposure is primarily the result of fluctuations in interest rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“Substantially all of our investments are subject to interest rate risk and will decrease in value if market rates increase. Assuming a hypothetical and immediate 1% increase in market interest rates at December 31, 2025, the fair value of our fixed income investments would decrease by approximately $650 million. Declines in interest rates over time will reduce our investment income.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“As of December 31, 2025, we had consolidated indebtedness of $17.4 billion.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Public debt and fiscal policy strengthens, Inflation strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Construction, weakens Real estate, weakens Wind power, weakens Housing market, weakens Office and commercial property, weakens Residential rental, weakens Residential construction
AI regulation
Regulation
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In 2023, HHS finalized transparency requirements for artificial intelligence and other predictive algorithms used in certified health information technology, such as decision support interventions. Changes to laws and regulations regarding how we may use artificial intelligence could make it harder for us to conduct our business using artificial intelligence; require us to retrain our artificial intelligence; or prevent or limit our use of artificial intelligence.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We increasingly rely on new and evolving technologies, including those powered by or incorporating artificial intelligence, as part of our internal operations and in the delivery of our products and services. These new technologies could present ethical, technological, legal, regulatory and other risks. We are required by certain regulators to develop and implement policies and procedures to promote and sustain the responsible design, development, and use of artificial intelligence. Any inadequacy or failure in designing, implementing or complying with such policies and procedures, or failure in complying with emerging laws, regulations and standards governing artificial intelligence, could adversely affect our operations that use or rely on artificial intelligence, or could materially and adversely affect our business, reputation, results of operations, financial position and cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Cybersecurity (products and services)
Technology
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Any failure or perceived failure by us to comply with our privacy policies, or applicable data privacy and security laws, regulations, rules, standards or contractual obligations, or any compromise of security that results in unauthorized access to, or unauthorized loss, destruction, use, modification, acquisition, disclosure, release or transfer of personal information, may result in requirements to modify or cease certain operations or practices, the expenditure of substantial costs, time and other resources, proceedings or actions against us, legal liability, governmental investigations, enforcement actions, claims, fines, judgments, awards, penalties, sanctions and costly litigation (including class actions). Any of the foregoing could harm our reputation, distract our management and technical personnel, increase our costs of doing business, adversely affect the demand for our products and services, and ultimately result in the imposition of liability, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Any failure of these third-party vendors' prevention, detection or control systems related to regulatory compliance, compliance with our internal policies, data security and/or cybersecurity or any incident involving the theft, misappropriation, loss or other unauthorized disclosure of, or access to, members' or other constituents' sensitive information could require us to expend significant resources to remediate any damage, interrupt our operations and adversely affect our brand and reputation and also expose us to whistleblower, class action and other litigation, other proceedings, prohibitions on marketing or active or passive enrollment of members, corrective actions, fines, sanctions and/or penalties, any of which could adversely affect our business results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Cyber attacks and IT security risk strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Digitalisation
Labour regulation
Regulation
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), passed in July 2025, includes requirements that may reduce the number of members eligible for state Medicaid Expansion programs by requiring work or community engagement by members and for state Medicaid agencies to redetermine member eligibility at more frequent intervals, along with adding a "Cost Sharing" or "Co-Pay" for certain medical services. These changes could have the effect of increasing the overall morbidity of the Medicaid Expansion population largely beginning in 2027, subject to state implementation plans.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The frequent enactment of, changes to, or interpretations of laws and regulations could, among other things: force us to restructure our relationships with providers within our network; require us to implement additional or different programs and systems; restrict revenue and enrollment growth; increase our healthcare and administrative costs; impose additional capital and surplus requirements; modify how we contract, pay and interact with brokers, enact additional payment integrity initiatives that have the effect of reducing membership and increase or change our liability to members in the event of malpractice by our contracted providers.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Biotech and drug development
Technology
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Increases in our pharmaceutical costs could have a material adverse effect on the level of our medical costs and our results of operations. Introduction of new high-cost specialty drugs and sudden cost spikes for existing drugs increase the risk that the pharmacy cost assumptions used to develop our capitation rates are not adequate to cover the actual pharmacy costs, which jeopardizes the overall actuarial soundness of our rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: US drug pricing policy mixed effect, Patent expiry and generic competition weakens, Drug approvals strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Buying contract manufacturing and research (CMO/CRO/EMS), strengthens Contract manufacturers as a business (EMS, CMO, CRO)
Cyber attacks and IT security risk
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“A failure in or breach of our operational or security systems, networks or infrastructure, or those of third-party vendors with which we do business, including as a result of cyber-attacks and other data security incidents, could have a material adverse effect on our business.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Cybersecurity (products and services)
US drug pricing policy
Regulation
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Under the IRA, PDP plan costs increased significantly due to a reduction in members cost share (close of coverage gap, and the $2,000 cap on member out-of-pocket expenses) and a decrease in federal reinsurance (from 80% to 20%, while a greater portion of the plan drug costs fall into the catastrophic phase).”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this mixed effect Biotech and drug development, weakens GLP-1 and obesity treatment
Inflation
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes in healthcare regulations and practices, including due to the OBBBA, the level of utilization of healthcare services, including due to eligibility changes, benefit design, provider or consumer behavior changes, out-of-network utilization and pricing, medical claim submission patterns, including due to the use of artificial intelligence, hospital and pharmaceutical costs, including new high-cost specialty drugs, unexpected events, such as natural disasters, the effects of climate change, acts of war or aggression, geopolitical instability, major epidemics, pandemics and their resurgence, or newly emergent diseases, new medical technologies, increases in provider fraud, tariffs, unexpected increases in taxes and fees, including provider taxes, and other external factors, including general economic conditions such as interest rates, inflation and unemployment levels, are generally beyond our control and could reduce our ability to accurately predict and effectively control the costs of providing health benefits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The Company uses its judgment to determine the assumptions to be used in the calculation of the required estimates. The assumptions it considers when estimating IBNR include, without limitation, claims receipt and payment experience (and variations in that experience), changes in membership, provider billing practices, healthcare service utilization trends, cost trends, product mix, seasonality, prior authorization of medical services, benefit changes, known outbreaks of disease or increased incidence of illness such as influenza, provider contract changes, changes to fee schedules and the incidence of high-dollar or catastrophic claims.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Consumer spending, strengthens Interest rates
Pandemics and outbreaks
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes in healthcare regulations and practices, including due to the OBBBA, the level of utilization of healthcare services, including due to eligibility changes, benefit design, provider or consumer behavior changes, out-of-network utilization and pricing, medical claim submission patterns, including due to the use of artificial intelligence, hospital and pharmaceutical costs, including new high-cost specialty drugs, unexpected events, such as natural disasters, the effects of climate change, acts of war or aggression, geopolitical instability, major epidemics, pandemics and their resurgence, or newly emergent diseases, new medical technologies, increases in provider fraud, tariffs, unexpected increases in taxes and fees, including provider taxes, and other external factors, including general economic conditions such as interest rates, inflation and unemployment levels, are generally beyond our control and could reduce our ability to accurately predict and effectively control the costs of providing health benefits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“For example, due to the declaration of the end of the PHE and the subsequent expiration of the eligibility determination waivers, the resumption of the Medicaid eligibility redeterminations significantly reduced our membership in our Medicaid programs, and we did not fully offset the loss of this membership by increased enrollment in our Health Insurance Marketplace products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Aviation and travel, strengthens Vaccines (travel health and preparedness)
Equity and capital markets
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Adverse credit market conditions may have a material adverse effect on our liquidity or our ability to obtain credit on acceptable terms. In the past, the securities and credit markets have experienced volatility and disruption. The availability of credit, from virtually all types of lenders, has at times been restricted. In the event we need access to additional capital to pay our operating expenses, fund subsidiary surplus requirements, make payments on or refinance our indebtedness, pay capital expenditures or fund acquisitions, our ability to obtain such capital may be limited and the cost of any such capital may be significant, particularly if we are unable to access our existing Revolving Credit Facility.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Packaging regulation and deposit schemes
Regulation
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We provide services and support to manage our members' pharmacy benefits. These services are subject to extensive federal, state and local laws and regulations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
United States
Geography
Geography
“As of December 31, 2025, we operated in 29 states under federally-facilitated Marketplace contracts with CMS and state-based exchanges.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Geography
“For example, we are currently protesting the Texas and Georgia Medicaid reprocurements in which we were not a successful bidder.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Geography
“Operations in a number of states have accounted for a significant portion of our premium revenues to date. If we were unable to continue to operate in any of those states or if our current operations in any portion of one of those states were significantly curtailed, our revenues could decrease materially.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: USD vs DKK/EUR mixed effect
Climate change and extreme weather
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes in healthcare regulations and practices, including due to the OBBBA, the level of utilization of healthcare services, including due to eligibility changes, benefit design, provider or consumer behavior changes, out-of-network utilization and pricing, medical claim submission patterns, including due to the use of artificial intelligence, hospital and pharmaceutical costs, including new high-cost specialty drugs, unexpected events, such as natural disasters, the effects of climate change, acts of war or aggression, geopolitical instability, major epidemics, pandemics and their resurgence, or newly emergent diseases, new medical technologies, increases in provider fraud, tariffs, unexpected increases in taxes and fees, including provider taxes, and other external factors, including general economic conditions such as interest rates, inflation and unemployment levels, are generally beyond our control and could reduce our ability to accurately predict and effectively control the costs of providing health benefits.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Agriculture and food production
Competitors mentioned in the report
No named competitors in the report.
Financial figures
| Revenue latest fiscal year | 174.58 bn USD |
| Revenue growth vs. the year before, same method | 20 % |
| EBITDA reported by the company | -6.35 bn USD |
| Net debt debt incl. leasing minus cash | 0.37 bn USD |
| Diluted EPS per share | -13.53 USD |
Source: 10-K (SEC) A. See the report
Criteria
| Profit | ✗ |
| Growing | ✓ |
| Healthy balance sheet | N/A |
Only the criteria that can be computed from financial statements on this page. The remaining criteria (such as price and dividend) need a share price and are in the analysis.
Figures are in the report's currency (USD), not converted to DKK. Quotes are shown as the company's own words in English.