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Dollar Tree

Sector unknown·DLTR · USA (SEC 10-K)·Fiscal year to 31/01/2026

Digital payments and fintechE-commerceLabour and wagesSea freight and freight ratesInflation

Business General We are a leading operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. At January 31, 2026, we operated approximately 9,000 stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores across seven Canadian provinces.

Exposure profile

Raw materials and inputsMacroTechnologyRegulationEnd marketsGeography
Raw materials and inputs Labour and wages, Sea freight and freight rates, IT operations and cloud, Fuel
Macro Inflation, Tariffs and trade policy, Consumer spending, Business cycle and GDP growth
Technology Digital payments and fintech, E-commerce, Automation and robotics, Energy efficiency
Regulation Financial regulation, ESG and sustainability reporting, Packaging regulation and deposit schemes, Carbon tax and ETS prices
End markets Consumer preference shifts, Construction, Real estate, Retail
Geography China, Nordics, Denmark, United States

Derived from what the company itself writes. Empty directions mean the report doesn't mention themes of that type.

In their own words

Grouped by theme, from the management review in the annual report. A · The company itself is a verbatim quote, B · From the report is without a verified quote.

Consumer spending

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Although our multi-price assortment has grown, the majority of our products are priced at $1.25, and 85% of products in the average Dollar Tree store are currently priced at $2.00 or less, and we generally have fewer price bands for our goods than other retailers. Accordingly, we may not be able to adjust our prices to effectively offset cost increases while providing 10 Table of Contents expected value.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We also open or expand stores within our established geographic markets, where new or expanded stores may draw sales away from our existing stores.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, the success of our business depends in part on our ability to anticipate, identify and respond promptly to evolving trends in consumer preferences. If we are unable to accurately predict the products that our customers will demand, implement competitive and effective pricing and marketing strategies, or timely and appropriately respond to changing demographics, consumer needs, preferences or spending patterns, then the demand for our products (including our higher-margin discretionary merchandise), our market share and our results of operations could be adversely affected.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“A deterioration in economic conditions could reduce consumer spending or cause customers to shift their spending to products we either do not sell or do not sell as profitably. Adverse economic conditions such as a recession could disrupt consumer spending and significantly reduce our sales, decrease our inventory turnover, cause greater markdowns, or reduce our profitability due to lower margins.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Furthermore, factors that could adversely affect consumer disposable income could decrease our customers’ spending on products we sell most profitably.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our highest sales periods are during the Christmas and Easter seasons, and we generally realize a disproportionate amount of our net sales and our operating and net income during the fourth quarter. In anticipation, we stock extra inventory and hire many temporary employees to prepare our stores and help ship product from our distribution centers.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“The success of these initiatives depends, among other things, on our ability to execute and scale these initiatives consistently across a large, geographically diverse store and distribution footprint and, ultimately, customer receptiveness and acceptance. If our initiatives, including our expanded multi-price offerings, do not appeal to our customers, or if we are unable to consistently meet our brand execution promises in a cost-effective manner, we may experience a loss of customer confidence or lost sales, which could adversely affect our reputation and results of operations.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our growth is dependent on our ability to increase sales in existing stores. Our strategic plan includes improvements in store productivity through initiatives to improve store standards and operational consistency, refresh and renovation programs, shelf productivity optimization, and elevated store execution and cleanliness.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our sales and profitability are affected by our product assortment and customer response to the mix of products we sell. Our success depends on our ability to select and obtain sufficient quantities of relevant merchandise at prices that allow us to sell such merchandise at profitable and appropriate prices, and to market such merchandise effectively to customers.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We continue to execute on a number of strategic initiatives to accelerate profitable growth for Dollar Tree as a standalone banner following the sale of Family Dollar. During 2025, we outlined our strategic plan designed to reinforce our core brand promise—value, convenience, and discovery—while improving operating leverage and returns over time.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Market

“Table of Contents Our Merchandise We maintain a balanced selection of products within traditional variety store categories. We offer a wide selection of everyday basic products and we supplement these with seasonal, closeout and promotional merchandise. We attempt to keep certain basic consumable merchandise in our stores continuously to establish our stores as a destination and increase traffic in our stores.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Market

“The merchandise mix in our stores consists of: •Consumable merchandise, which includes everyday consumables such as household paper and chemicals, food, candy, health and personal care products, and in most stores, frozen and refrigerated food; •Discretionary merchandise includes the following: ◦Variety merchandise, which includes toys, durable housewares, gifts, stationery, party goods, greeting cards, softlines, arts and crafts supplies and other items; and ◦Seasonal goods, which include, among others, Christmas, Easter, Halloween and Valentine’s Day merchandise.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Market

“Our Stores Our stores serve customers with a broad range of income levels principally in suburban locations and predominantly range from 8,000 - 10,000 selling square feet.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Inflation weakens
Chains out: this strengthens Retail, strengthens Hospitality and leisure, strengthens Premium consumers, strengthens Grocery retail and private label

Labour and wages

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Profitability and Operational Risks Our profitability is vulnerable to cost pressures from increases in merchandise, shipping, freight and fuel, wages, benefits and other operating costs.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Future increases in costs such as the cost of merchandise, wage and benefit costs, ocean shipping rates, domestic freight costs, fuel and energy costs, tariffs and other trade-related measures, and store occupancy costs, whether due to inflation and economic conditions, government action, geopolitical tensions, or otherwise, would reduce our profitability.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, we have experienced increases in wage rates and labor costs, distribution costs, and unfavorable development in self-insured general liability claims in prior years, and we expect further increases in certain cost categories in fiscal 2026.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition to pressures from a tight labor market, we recently have experienced increased labor costs in connection with our multi-price rollout.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have experienced in recent years, and could continue to experience, difficulties in sourcing adequate truck drivers, which could increase our costs or require us to increase our use of more expensive surge carriers to transport our merchandise.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We are committed to providing market-competitive pay for all positions, and we are a pay-for-performance organization, offering performance-based compensation opportunities at nearly all levels of the organization, including certain hourly-paid positions. We strive to ensure gender and racial pay equity for associates performing equal or substantially similar work.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“At our stores and distribution centers, we must recruit, develop, train, and retain qualified associates in relatively large numbers, while also working to decrease turnover in these positions. Our ability to meet labor needs while controlling costs is subject to many external factors, including competition for and availability of qualified personnel, unemployment levels, wage rates and salary levels (including the heightened possibility of increased federal, state and/or local minimum wage rates/salary levels), health and other insurance costs, changes in employment and labor laws or other workplace regulations (including those relating to employee benefit programs such as health insurance and paid leave programs), labor activism, associate safety issues, associate expectations and productivity, and our reputation and relevance within the labor market.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Table of Contents Our People Our associate engagement, customer satisfaction, and overall business success are built upon our dedicated associates who work and live in the communities we serve. Our goal is to provide a work environment that is welcoming and inclusive, offers competitive pay and benefits, supports growth and development, and affirms our corporate values.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Tariffs and trade policy

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Future increases in costs such as the cost of merchandise, wage and benefit costs, ocean shipping rates, domestic freight costs, fuel and energy costs, tariffs and other trade-related measures, and store occupancy costs, whether due to inflation and economic conditions, government action, geopolitical tensions, or otherwise, would reduce our profitability.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Any increase in the cost of our imported merchandise or a disruption in the flow of those goods for any reason could have an adverse impact on our operations and significantly decrease our profits.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Among our foreign suppliers, China is the source of the majority of our direct imports. In early 2025, the United States imposed a new tariff and trade policy, announcing significant additional tariffs on a wide variety of products originating from countries worldwide, including China, and other countries from which we import goods.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Subsequently, there have been various updates and revisions to these tariffs and the United States’ tariff policy, with some tariffs delayed or temporarily paused as country-specific agreements have been negotiated with certain countries. On February 20, 2026, the Supreme Court ruled that certain of the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (“IEEPA”) were unlawful. Following the Supreme Court’s decision, the United States imposed new, temporary tariffs on imports from all countries under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 and could take action to invoke other laws to collect tariffs.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The imposition of tariffs on imported merchandise or other actions against China or other countries from which we import goods, and any retaliatory actions or other responses by such countries, could negatively impact product availability or impair our ability to meet customer demand and could result in lost sales, an increase in our cost of merchandise or other adverse impacts on our operations, unless we are able to successfully offset or mitigate these impacts.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Department of Commerce recently has conducted investigations of anti-dumping and countervailing duties with respect to various goods we import from foreign countries. For example, based on determinations by the Department of Commerce and International Trade Commission, we accrued $25.0 million related to additional duties on paper plates imported during fiscal 2024.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Table of Contents We are actively implementing mitigation strategies to offset the impact of cost pressures and inflation, including tariffs, by re-negotiating supplier terms, re-engineering products for efficiency, shifting country of origin where it adds advantage, discontinuing lower-margin or underperforming items and executing targeted retail price changes.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We have actively implemented mitigation strategies to offset the impact of tariffs and other cost pressures by re-negotiating supplier terms, re-engineering products for efficiency, shifting country of origin where it adds advantage, discontinuing lower-margin or underperforming items and executing targeted retail price changes.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Geopolitical uncertainty strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Global trade volumes

Inflation

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Profitability and Operational Risks Our profitability is vulnerable to cost pressures from increases in merchandise, shipping, freight and fuel, wages, benefits and other operating costs.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Future increases in costs such as the cost of merchandise, wage and benefit costs, ocean shipping rates, domestic freight costs, fuel and energy costs, tariffs and other trade-related measures, and store occupancy costs, whether due to inflation and economic conditions, government action, geopolitical tensions, or otherwise, would reduce our profitability.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have experienced higher construction, rent, commodity and other costs associated with the build-out of new stores and the renovation of existing stores. We have also experienced delays in new store openings and the renovation of existing stores due to inspection, permitting and contractor delays and limitations on the availability of certain fixtures and equipment.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We believe that these macroeconomic factors, including inflationary pressures and higher interest rates, negatively affect our customers and impact our sales.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Over the past several years, we have experienced a shift in consumer purchasing from higher-margin discretionary merchandise to lower-margin consumable goods. Factors that could reduce our customers’ disposable income and over which we exercise no influence include inflation in food, housing, fuel or other energy costs, increased unemployment, increases in mortgage and interest rates, lack of available credit, higher tax rates and other changes in tax laws, increasing healthcare costs, and changes in government subsidies such as unemployment and food assistance programs, including the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (“SNAP”).”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, our continued expansion of multi-price product assortments and retail price changes, in addition to increased scrutiny of retailers by local, state and federal agencies, has resulted in increased regulatory and legal risks regarding pricing and price clarity. New or revised laws, regulations, orders, policies and related interpretations and enforcement practices, including product and food safety, marketing, labeling or pricing; information security and privacy; artificial intelligence; labor and employment; employee wages and benefits; health and workplace safety (including Occupational Safety and Health Administration rules); imports and customs; taxes; anti-bribery; sustainability; and environmental compliance, may significantly increase our expenses or require extensive system and operating changes that could materially increase our cost of doing business.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Table of Contents We are actively implementing mitigation strategies to offset the impact of cost pressures and inflation, including tariffs, by re-negotiating supplier terms, re-engineering products for efficiency, shifting country of origin where it adds advantage, discontinuing lower-margin or underperforming items and executing targeted retail price changes.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Consumer spending, strengthens Interest rates

Retail

End markets

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We continue to execute on a number of strategic initiatives to accelerate profitable growth for Dollar Tree as a standalone banner following the sale of Family Dollar. During 2025, we outlined our strategic plan designed to reinforce our core brand promise—value, convenience, and discovery—while improving operating leverage and returns over time.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Market

“Business General We are a leading operator of retail discount stores operating under the brand names of Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada. At January 31, 2026, we operated approximately 9,000 stores across 48 states and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores across seven Canadian provinces.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Market

“Our privately sourced and control brand items are an important component of our product mix and our sales and profitability growth plans. Broad market acceptance of our private brands depends on many factors, including pricing, quality, customer perception, and timely development and introduction of new products.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Consumer spending strengthens

Automation and robotics

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Distribution A strong and efficient distribution network is critical to our ability to grow and to maintain a low-cost operating structure. We’re optimizing our supply chain network, executing a multi-year plan to expand and modernize our distribution centers, add capacity, and strengthen transportation.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Those initiatives include, among others: •Expanding and refining our multi-price assortment to deliver a broader, more relevant offering while preserving the foundational value proposition of Dollar Tree; •Managing costs with agility, including our strategies to mitigate tariffs and inflationary pressures, manage operating expenses, and reduce corporate SG&A as a percentage of sales; •Continuing new store growth, as well as improving store standards and operational consistency through refresh and renovation programs, shelf productivity optimization, and initiatives to elevate store execution and cleanliness; •Expanding and modernizing our distribution network, enhancing warehouse management systems, and improving our transportation systems; and •Modernizing our technology platform, replacing legacy systems, and enhancing our mobile app, human capital management systems, supply chain platforms, and data analytics capabilities.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Premium consumers

End markets

Market

“Our Stores Our stores serve customers with a broad range of income levels principally in suburban locations and predominantly range from 8,000 - 10,000 selling square feet.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Market

“We could experience a decline in consumer confidence and spending if our customers become concerned about the quality and safety of the products we sell. Our privately sourced and control brand items are an important component of our product mix and our sales and profitability growth plans.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Consumer spending strengthens

Artificial intelligence

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We use, and may over time increase the usage of, artificial intelligence and machine learning in our business, and challenges with properly managing its use could adversely affect our business. We utilize artificial intelligence-enabled technologies in our business, and advancements in technology may allow us to expand the use or applications of artificial intelligence, including generative artificial intelligence, into key operational and/or administrative aspects of our business in the future.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Data centres, strengthens Semiconductors and electronic components, strengthens Semiconductor industry

E-commerce

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Through a partnership with Instacart, our customers can shop online and receive same-day delivery from more than 8,400 Dollar Tree stores, as of January 31, 2026, without having to visit a store. In August 2025, we announced a nationwide partnership with Uber to bring the Uber Eats platform to our stores, offering customers on-demand access to and delivery of value-driven essentials, snacks, party supplies and seasonal surprises. As of January 31, 2026, over 8,800 Dollar Tree stores were serviceable through Uber Eats.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Energy efficiency

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Those initiatives include, among others: •Expanding and refining our multi-price assortment to deliver a broader, more relevant offering while preserving the foundational value proposition of Dollar Tree; •Managing costs with agility, including our strategies to mitigate tariffs and inflationary pressures, manage operating expenses, and reduce corporate SG&A as a percentage of sales; •Continuing new store growth, as well as improving store standards and operational consistency through refresh and renovation programs, shelf productivity optimization, and initiatives to elevate store execution and cleanliness; •Expanding and modernizing our distribution network, enhancing warehouse management systems, and improving our transportation systems; and •Modernizing our technology platform, replacing legacy systems, and enhancing our mobile app, human capital management systems, supply chain platforms, and data analytics capabilities.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Carbon tax and ETS prices strengthens, EU climate and energy policy strengthens

Packaging

Raw materials and inputs

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Those initiatives include, among others: •Expanding and refining our multi-price assortment to deliver a broader, more relevant offering while preserving the foundational value proposition of Dollar Tree; •Managing costs with agility, including our strategies to mitigate tariffs and inflationary pressures, manage operating expenses, and reduce corporate SG&A as a percentage of sales; •Continuing new store growth, as well as improving store standards and operational consistency through refresh and renovation programs, shelf productivity optimization, and initiatives to elevate store execution and cleanliness; •Expanding and modernizing our distribution network, enhancing warehouse management systems, and improving our transportation systems; and •Modernizing our technology platform, replacing legacy systems, and enhancing our mobile app, human capital management systems, supply chain platforms, and data analytics capabilities.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Beer and beverages

Public investment and infrastructure

Regulation

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“•Distribution center capacity. To support our growth initiatives, we are working to expand our distribution center capacity, including to replace that lost following the 2024 tornado that destroyed our Marietta, Oklahoma distribution center. In 2025, we purchased a distribution center outside of Phoenix, Arizona that we plan to open in 2026 and broke ground on a new distribution center in Marietta, Oklahoma that is expected to be fully operational by 2027.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Reconstruction of Ukraine strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Construction, strengthens Digitalisation, strengthens IT consulting and public-sector IT

Real estate

End markets

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our growth is dependent on our ability to expand our square footage profitably. Expanding our square footage profitably depends on a number of uncertainties, including our ability to locate, lease, build out and open or expand stores in suitable locations on a timely basis under favorable economic terms.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Interest rates weakens

Sea freight and freight rates

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Profitability and Operational Risks Our profitability is vulnerable to cost pressures from increases in merchandise, shipping, freight and fuel, wages, benefits and other operating costs.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“While we experienced lower domestic and import freight costs in fiscal 2025, we expect those costs to increase in the future.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Ocean shipping and other freight costs could increase because of the macroeconomic environment, armed conflicts and other geopolitical tensions, or other shocks or disruptions in the global supply chain.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have experienced disruptions in the global supply chain, including issues with shipping capacity and port congestion, and could experience disruptions because of geopolitical tensions and other international events such as armed conflict, war, economic sanctions, cyberattacks, piracy or acts of terrorism. Tensions in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea and traffic restrictions through the Panama Canal caused global supply chain disruptions in recent years and may continue, which, along with ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, could increase ocean shipping costs, transit times and port congestion.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Our success is dependent on our ability to import or transport merchandise to our distribution centers and deliver merchandise to our stores in a safe, timely and cost-effective manner.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Geopolitical uncertainty strengthens

China

Geography

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Among our foreign suppliers, China is the source of the majority of our direct imports. In early 2025, the United States imposed a new tariff and trade policy, announcing significant additional tariffs on a wide variety of products originating from countries worldwide, including China, and other countries from which we import goods.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Merchandise imported directly typically accounts for approximately 40% of our total retail value purchases, with the remaining merchandise purchased domestically. Among our foreign suppliers, China is the source of a vast majority of our direct imports and we believe that a significant portion of our goods purchased from domestic vendors is imported.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Merchandise imported directly typically accounts for approximately 40% of total retail value purchases. In addition, we believe that a significant portion of our goods purchased from domestic vendors is imported. Imported goods are generally less expensive than domestic goods and result in higher profit margins.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Interest rates

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We believe that these macroeconomic factors, including inflationary pressures and higher interest rates, negatively affect our customers and impact our sales.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Changes in the credit and capital markets, including as a result of financial market disruptions, rising interest rates, bank failures or other macroeconomic conditions, could increase the cost of financing or restrict our access to these potential sources of future liquidity.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, we have exposure to future interest rates based on variable rates under our revolving credit facility and issuances under our commercial paper program and to the extent we raise additional debt in the capital markets to meet maturing debt obligations or otherwise. Significant and sustained increases in market interest rates could materially increase our financing costs and negatively impact our reported results.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Public debt and fiscal policy strengthens, Inflation strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Construction, weakens Real estate, weakens Wind power, weakens Housing market, weakens Office and commercial property, weakens Residential rental, weakens Residential construction

IT operations and cloud

Raw materials and inputs

InputNegative impact: weakens

“If our estimates and assumptions about our initiatives are incorrect, or if we miscalculate or misalign the resources or time we need to complete them or fail to execute on them effectively, our pursuit of these initiatives may increase our costs and reduce our margins and profitability. To be effective, our strategies have and will continue to require significant investment in cross-functional operations and management focus, along with supporting investments.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We rely extensively on our computer and technology systems and, in certain cases, those of third-party service providers to support nearly all key functions in our business, including managing inventory, operating our stores, processing credit card and customer transactions, managing our customer and associate relationships and summarizing results. Our ability to effectively manage our business and coordinate the distribution and sale of our merchandise depends significantly on the capabilities, confidentiality, integrity and availability of these systems and on our ability to successfully acquire and integrate upgraded or replacement systems as needed to support our business requirements and strategic initiatives.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“To support the growth of our business, we are making substantial investments in our information technology systems, including updating or replacing legacy systems. Certain of our existing infrastructure is comprised of complex legacy technologies with limited flexibility, inconsistencies, manual workarounds and other inefficiencies.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Business cycle and GDP growth

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“A deterioration in economic conditions could reduce consumer spending or cause customers to shift their spending to products we either do not sell or do not sell as profitably. Adverse economic conditions such as a recession could disrupt consumer spending and significantly reduce our sales, decrease our inventory turnover, cause greater markdowns, or reduce our profitability due to lower margins.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Adverse events such as inclement 14 Table of Contents weather or unfavorable economic conditions during the fourth quarter could cause a reduction in sales during these periods, which in turn could adversely affect our operating results, particularly operating and net income, to a greater extent than if a reduction occurred at other times of the year.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Global trade volumes, strengthens Construction

Cyber attacks and IT security risk

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“This may be as the result of deliberate breach in the security of these systems or platforms by bad actors, including through malicious software, ransomware and other cyberattacks, which may originate from state actors and may increase during times of international tensions.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The potential unauthorized access to our systems could disrupt operations or lead to the theft of data which may violate privacy laws and could damage our business reputation, subject us to negative publicity, litigation and costs, and adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition. Many of our information technology systems, such as those we use for our point-of-sale, web and mobile platforms, including online and mobile payment systems, and for administrative functions, including human resources, payroll, benefits, accounting, and internal and external communications, contain personal, financial, health-related or other confidential information that is entrusted to us by our customers and associates as well as proprietary and other confidential information related to our business and suppliers.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Cybersecurity (products and services)

Digital payments and fintech

Technology

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Likewise, we are subject to the Payment Card Industry Data Security Standards (“PCI-DSS”) which is mandated by the card brands and administered through the Payment Card Industry Security Standards Council. As a Level 1 Merchant, we are subject to assessment and attestation for PCI-DSS compliance on an annual basis.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Geopolitical uncertainty

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Ocean shipping and other freight costs could increase because of the macroeconomic environment, armed conflicts and other geopolitical tensions, or other shocks or disruptions in the global supply chain.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, we could experience increased costs related to fuel prices due to ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine and other geopolitical tensions. •Shipping disruptions.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have experienced disruptions in the global supply chain, including issues with shipping capacity and port congestion, and could experience disruptions because of geopolitical tensions and other international events such as armed conflict, war, economic sanctions, cyberattacks, piracy or acts of terrorism. Tensions in the Persian Gulf and Red Sea and traffic restrictions through the Panama Canal caused global supply chain disruptions in recent years and may continue, which, along with ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, could increase ocean shipping costs, transit times and port congestion.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have risks related to the security of our facilities including risks of personal injury to customers or associates. We operate stores and other facilities in locations subject to a risk for crimes of break-ins, theft, property damage, and interpersonal violence, which may include an active shooter or mass casualty/damage event.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Defence budgets, strengthens Energy security, strengthens Tariffs and trade policy, weakens Global trade volumes, strengthens Sea freight and freight rates, weakens Reconstruction of Ukraine

Climate change and extreme weather

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“A fire, explosion or natural disaster at a port or any of our distribution or store support facilities could result in a loss of merchandise and increased costs and impair our ability to adequately stock our stores. Some of our facilities are in areas that are vulnerable to earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes or floods, such as the tornado that destroyed our Marietta, Oklahoma distribution center in 2024 and resulted in the loss of inventory and the facility itself as well as additional distribution and storage costs.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, an increase in the severity and frequency of extreme weather events and patterns may increase our operating costs, disrupt manufacturing or our supply chain, change customer buying patterns, result in closures of our stores or distribution and store support centers and impede physical access to our stores.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Adverse events such as inclement 14 Table of Contents weather or unfavorable economic conditions during the fourth quarter could cause a reduction in sales during these periods, which in turn could adversely affect our operating results, particularly operating and net income, to a greater extent than if a reduction occurred at other times of the year.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Agriculture and food production

Financial regulation

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We are also subject to laws and regulations in various jurisdictions in which we operate regarding privacy, data protection and data security, including those related to the collection, storage, handling, use, disclosure, transfer and security of personal data of customers, associates, or others. These laws permit regulators to assess potentially significant fines for data privacy violations and may create a right for individuals to bring class action suits seeking damages for violations.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We operate in an increasingly regulated environment across a large and diverse geographic footprint, and we devote substantial resources to ensure effective compliance with numerous and frequently changing laws and regulations. The complexity of this regulatory environment and related compliance costs continue to increase due to additional legal and regulatory requirements, our expanding operations, new strategic initiatives, and increased regulatory scrutiny and enforcement efforts.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, various municipalities have begun regulating the placement or proximity of our stores or may place requirements on labor relations or the types of products we sell. In addition, the adoption by certain jurisdictions of new or expanded environmental laws and regulations could significantly increase our operating or merchandise costs or reduce the demand for our products.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

ESG and sustainability reporting

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, our continued expansion of multi-price product assortments and retail price changes, in addition to increased scrutiny of retailers by local, state and federal agencies, has resulted in increased regulatory and legal risks regarding pricing and price clarity. New or revised laws, regulations, orders, policies and related interpretations and enforcement practices, including product and food safety, marketing, labeling or pricing; information security and privacy; artificial intelligence; labor and employment; employee wages and benefits; health and workplace safety (including Occupational Safety and Health Administration rules); imports and customs; taxes; anti-bribery; sustainability; and environmental compliance, may significantly increase our expenses or require extensive system and operating changes that could materially increase our cost of doing business.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Our business faces increasing public scrutiny related to corporate social responsibility, environmental concerns, governance and related practices. We risk damage to our brand and reputation, including risk to our plans for profitable growth, if we fail to act responsibly or in line with regulatory and stakeholder expectations in a number of areas, such as worker safety and welfare, human rights, associate relations, environmental stewardship, support for local communities, and corporate governance and transparency.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Carbon tax and ETS prices

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“These laws and regulations may include, but are not limited to, requirements relating to hazardous waste materials, recycling, single-use plastics, so-called “chemicals of concern,” extended producer responsibility, use of refrigerants, carbon pricing or carbon taxes, product energy efficiency, animal welfare standards and product labeling.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Shipping and logistics, strengthens Energy efficiency, weakens Cement and building materials

Cement and building materials

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have experienced higher construction, rent, commodity and other costs associated with the build-out of new stores and the renovation of existing stores. We have also experienced delays in new store openings and the renovation of existing stores due to inspection, permitting and contractor delays and limitations on the availability of certain fixtures and equipment.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Carbon tax and ETS prices weakens, Reconstruction of Ukraine strengthens

Construction

End markets

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, various municipalities have begun regulating the placement or proximity of our stores or may place requirements on labor relations or the types of products we sell. In addition, the adoption by certain jurisdictions of new or expanded environmental laws and regulations could significantly increase our operating or merchandise costs or reduce the demand for our products.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Interest rates weakens, Housing market strengthens, Public investment and infrastructure strengthens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens, Reconstruction of Ukraine strengthens

Consumer preference shifts

End markets

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, the success of our business depends in part on our ability to anticipate, identify and respond promptly to evolving trends in consumer preferences. If we are unable to accurately predict the products that our customers will demand, implement competitive and effective pricing and marketing strategies, or timely and appropriately respond to changing demographics, consumer needs, preferences or spending patterns, then the demand for our products (including our higher-margin discretionary merchandise), our market share and our results of operations could be adversely affected.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this mixed effect Beer and beverages

Fuel

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, we could experience increased costs related to fuel prices due to ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine and other geopolitical tensions. •Shipping disruptions.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics, strengthens Aviation and travel

Global trade volumes

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Any increase in the cost of our imported merchandise or a disruption in the flow of those goods for any reason could have an adverse impact on our operations and significantly decrease our profits.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: Tariffs and trade policy weakens, Geopolitical uncertainty weakens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics

Insurance premiums and reinsurance

Raw materials and inputs

InputNegative impact: weakens

“As a result of unfavorable developments due to the rising costs to reimburse, settle, or litigate claims related to customer accidents and other incidents at our stores, our actuarially determined liabilities were increased during 2024 and 2025, contributing to increases in our general liability claim expenses of $20.4 million and $33.6 million, 17 Table of Contents respectively, compared to the prior year.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Labour regulation

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, significant changes in laws or regulations that impact our relationship with our workforce, in areas such as wage and hour, health care, scheduling and leave, labor relations or workplace safety, could increase our expenses and adversely affect our operations.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

M&A and consolidation

Macro

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We are dependent on our vendors, including direct ship vendors, to supply suitable merchandise in a timely and efficient manner at favorable costs. If a vendor fails to deliver on its commitments due to financial or other difficulties, or if we are unable to source an expanded assortment of appropriate product to meet our merchandising strategies, we could experience merchandise shortages which could lead to lost sales or increased merchandise costs if alternative sources must be used.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Packaging regulation and deposit schemes

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“These laws and regulations may include, but are not limited to, requirements relating to hazardous waste materials, recycling, single-use plastics, so-called “chemicals of concern,” extended producer responsibility, use of refrigerants, carbon pricing or carbon taxes, product energy efficiency, animal welfare standards and product labeling.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Denmark

Geography

Geography

“Following the sale of the Family Dollar business, our operational and financial profile changed significantly, with the Dollar Tree banner comprising substantially all of our retail operations.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Geography

“We rely on internally generated funds and borrowings under our credit facilities and commercial paper program to fund our seasonal working capital requirements for existing and new stores, distribution network programs and other capital projects. Table of Contents Our continued access to financial markets depends on multiple factors, including market conditions, our operating performance and our credit ratings.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Geography

“Properties As of January 31, 2026, we operated approximately 9,000 stores across the contiguous United States and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores within seven Canadian provinces, with stores predominantly ranging from 8,000 - 10,000 selling square feet.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Nordics

Geography

Geography

“In our Dollar Tree Canada stores, we generally sell items for $1.75 (CAD) or less. Our revenue and assets in Canada are not material.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Subcontractors and haulage capacity

Raw materials and inputs

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We rely on a limited number of suppliers for certain consumable merchandise, including frozen and refrigerated products. To the extent that supply chain disruptions and higher costs affect our suppliers, we may be subject to delays or reductions in deliveries and higher costs for merchandise.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

United States

Geography

Geography

“Properties As of January 31, 2026, we operated approximately 9,000 stores across the contiguous United States and the District of Columbia and approximately 275 stores within seven Canadian provinces, with stores predominantly ranging from 8,000 - 10,000 selling square feet.”

Annual report 2026A · The company itself

Chains in: USD vs DKK/EUR mixed effect

Competitors mentioned in the report

No named competitors in the report.

Financial figures

Revenue
latest fiscal year
19.4 bn USD
Revenue growth
vs. the year before, same method
10.4 %
EBITDA
reported by the company
2.3 bn USD
Net debt
debt incl. leasing minus cash
6.34 bn USD
Diluted EPS
per share
6.22 USD

Source: 10-K (SEC) A. See the report

Criteria

Profit✓
Growing✓
Healthy balance sheet✓

Only the criteria that can be computed from financial statements on this page. The remaining criteria (such as price and dividend) need a share price and are in the analysis.

Figures are in the report's currency (USD), not converted to DKK. Quotes are shown as the company's own words in English.

This page describes what the company itself writes. It isn't an assessment and isn't a recommendation. Run an analysis to see how the company connects to your view.