ConvictaFree beta

Altria

Sector unknown·MO · USA (SEC 10-K)·Fiscal year to 31/12/2025

Cybersecurity (products and services)Biotech and drug developmentIT operations and cloudLabour and wagesInflation

We have a leading portfolio of tobacco products for U.S. tobacco consumers age 21+.

Exposure profile

Raw materials and inputsMacroTechnologyRegulationEnd marketsGeography
Raw materials and inputs IT operations and cloud, Labour and wages, Chemicals and specialty chemicals
Macro Inflation, Global trade volumes, Consumer spending, Interest rates
Technology Cybersecurity (products and services), Biotech and drug development, Artificial intelligence, Automation and robotics
Regulation Tobacco regulation and excise, Drug approvals, ESG and sustainability reporting, Labour regulation
End markets Consumer preference shifts, Agriculture and food production
Geography Denmark, United States

Derived from what the company itself writes. Empty directions mean the report doesn't mention themes of that type.

In their own words

Grouped by theme, from the management review in the annual report. A · The company itself is a verbatim quote, B · From the report is without a verified quote.

Tobacco regulation and excise

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, the Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act (“FSPTCA”) provides the FDA with broad authority to regulate the design, manufacture, packaging, advertising, promotion, sale and distribution of tobacco products; the authority to require disclosures of related information; and the authority to enforce the FSPTCA and related regulations.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The growth of innovative nicotine products, including legal and illicit e-vapor products and oral nicotine pouches, has contributed to reductions in the consumption levels and industry sales volumes of cigarettes and other tobacco products, including MST products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Illicit trade in nicotine products has had, and could continue to have, an adverse impact on our business, including the sales volumes and market shares of our operating companies’ innovative and smoke-free products and traditional tobacco products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In the e-vapor category, illicit flavored disposable product usage has significantly increased, and such products now comprise the majority of the e-vapor category. The impacts of this dynamic include declines in FDA-authorized e-vapor product volume and increased cross-category movement among adult cigarette smokers that has contributed to domestic cigarette industry volume declines.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We face significant governmental and private sector actions, including efforts aimed at reducing the incidence of tobacco use and seeking to hold us responsible for the adverse health effects associated with both smoking and exposure to environmental tobacco smoke. These actions, combined with the diminishing social acceptance of smoking, have resulted in reduced cigarette industry volume, and we expect that these factors will continue to reduce cigarette consumption levels, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations, cash flows or financial position.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Nicotine products are subject to substantial taxation, and any increases in nicotine product-related taxes could have a material adverse impact on sales of our operating companies’ products. Nicotine products are subject to substantial taxation, including excise taxes. Significant increases in taxes or fees on nicotine products (including traditional tobacco products as well as e-vapor and oral nicotine products) have been proposed or enacted and are likely to continue to be proposed or enacted within the United States at the federal, state and local levels.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Product assortment, regulation and enforcement continue to evolve in the e-vapor category. Flavored disposable e-vapor products have continued driving growth in the e-vapor category. We estimate that flavored disposable e-vapor products, the majority of which we believe have evaded the regulatory process, represent approximately 70% of the e-vapor category.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Congress expanded the statutory definition of tobacco products to include products containing nicotine derived from any source, including synthetic nicotine. See Premarket Review Pathways for Tobacco Products and Market Authorization Enforcement below for additional information.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“▪Potential Product Standards ▪Nicotine in Cigarettes and Other Combustible Tobacco Products: In January 2025, the FDA proposed a tobacco product standard that would establish a maximum nicotine level in cigarettes and certain other combustible tobacco products (including little cigars, cigarillos and most large cigars) significantly lower than the average concentration in these products currently on the market with the aim of making such products minimally or non-addictive.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We believe the rulemaking process for this proposed product standard will take multiple years to complete. ▪Flavors in Tobacco Products: In April 2022, the FDA issued two proposed product standards: (i) banning menthol in cigarettes and (ii) banning all characterizing flavors (including menthol) in cigars. We submitted comments during the notice-and-comment period. In October 2023, the FDA submitted the two proposed product standards to the White House Office of Management and Budget for review. In January 2025, the Trump Administration withdrew the two proposed product standards from the Office of Management and Budget (“OMB”) and sent them back to the FDA.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“▪N-nitrosonornicotine (“NNN”) in Smokeless Tobacco: In January 2017, the FDA proposed a product standard for NNN levels in finished smokeless tobacco products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“An unfavorable determination on an application, the withdrawal by the FDA of a prior MGO, an FDA enforcement action or other changes in FDA regulatory requirements could result in the removal of products from the market. A “not substantially equivalent” determination, a denial of a PMTA, an MGO withdrawal or an enforcement action by the FDA with respect to one or more products (each of which could require the removal of the product or products from the market) could have a material adverse impact on our business, results of operations, cash flows or financial position.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“As of February 23, 2026, multiple states and localities are considering legislation to ban flavors in one or more tobacco products, and six states (California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island and Utah) and the District of Columbia have passed such legislation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The legislation in the State of California, which became effective in December 2022, bans the sale of most tobacco products with characterizing flavors, including menthol, mint and wintergreen.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Similar restrictions to those enacted or proposed in various U.S. states and localities on e-vapor and oral nicotine pouch products have been enacted or proposed internationally.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Most jurisdictions within the United States have restricted smoking in public places and some have restricted vaping in public places. Some public health groups have called for, and various jurisdictions have adopted or proposed, bans on smoking and vaping in outdoor places, in private apartments and in cars transporting children. ▪Other Legislation or Governmental Initiatives: In addition to the actions discussed above, other regulatory initiatives affecting the tobacco industry have been adopted or are being considered at the federal level and in a number of state and local jurisdictions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, legislation has been introduced or enacted at the state or local level to subject tobacco products to various reporting requirements and performance standards; establish educational campaigns relating to tobacco consumption or tobacco control programs or provide additional funding for governmental tobacco control activities; restrict the sale of tobacco products in certain retail establishments and the sale of tobacco products in certain package sizes; prohibit the sale of tobacco products based on environmental concerns; impose responsibility on manufacturers for the disposal, recycling or other treatment of post-consumer goods such as plastic packaging; require tax stamping of smokeless tobacco products; require the use of state tax stamps using data encryption technology; and further restrict the sale, marketing and advertising of cigarettes and other tobacco products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“It is not possible to predict what, if any, additional legislation, regulation or other governmental action will be enacted or implemented (and, if challenged, upheld) relating to the manufacturing, design, packaging, marketing, advertising, sale or use of tobacco products, or the tobacco industry generally. Any such legislation, regulation or other governmental action could have a material adverse impact on our business, results of operations, cash flows or financial position. ▪Governmental Investigations: From time to time, we are subject to governmental investigations on a range of matters.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Private Sector Activity on Tobacco Products A number of retailers, including national chains, have discontinued the sale of all tobacco products, and others have discontinued the sale of e-vapor products. Reasons for the discontinuation include change in corporate policy and, with respect to e-vapor products, reported illnesses and the uncertain regulatory environment.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Prohibitionist policies, such as California’s ban on the sale of flavored tobacco products, which went into effect in 2022, can have unintended negative consequences, including the proliferation of counterfeit and unregulated products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“The FSPTCA imposes user fees on cigarette, cigarette tobacco, smokeless tobacco, cigar and pipe tobacco manufacturers and importers to pay for the cost of regulation and other matters. The FSPTCA does not impose user fees on e-vapor products or oral nicotine pouch manufacturers. The cost of the FDA user fee is allocated first among tobacco product categories subject to FDA user fees and then among manufacturers and importers within each respective category based on their relative market shares, all as prescribed by the FSPTCA and FDA regulations. Payments for user fees are adjusted for several factors, including market share and industry volume.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Payments Under State Settlement Agreements and FDA Regulation - PM USA has entered into State Settlement Agreements with the states, the District of Columbia and certain U.S. territories that call for certain payments. In addition, PM USA, Middleton and USSTC are subject to quarterly user fees imposed by the FDA as a result of the FSPTCA.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We have a leading portfolio of tobacco products for U.S. tobacco consumers age 21+.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“▪Cigarettes: PM USA is the largest cigarette company in the United States and substantially all cigarettes are manufactured and sold to customers in the United States.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Total smokeable products segment’s cigarettes shipment volume in the United States was 61.8 billion units in 2025, a decrease of 10.0% from 2024. ▪Cigars: Middleton is engaged in the manufacture and sale of machine-made large cigars.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Middleton contracts with a third-party importer to supply substantially all of its cigars and sells substantially all of its cigars to customers in the United States.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Total smokeable products segment’s cigars shipment volume was approximately 1.8 billion units in 2025, an increase of 1.8% from 2024.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“▪Oral tobacco products: USSTC is the leading producer and marketer of MST products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Total oral tobacco products segment’s shipment volume was 732.4 million units in 2025, a decrease of 5.5% from 2024.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Table of Contents ▪E-Vapor products: NJOY contracts with third-party importers to supply all of its products and sells its e-vapor products to customers in the United States.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Horizon is responsible for the U.S. commercialization of current and future HTS products owned by either party and, upon authorization by the FDA, will become the exclusive entity through which the parties market and commercialize HTS products in the United States. Upon FDA authorization of Ploom HTS products, JTIUH will supply Ploom HTS devices and PM USA will manufacture Marlboro HTS consumables for U.S. commercialization.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Inflation

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The willingness of adult nicotine consumers to purchase premium brands is affected by macroeconomic conditions, including inflation and overall economic stability. In periods of economic uncertainty and high inflation, we have observed that adult nicotine consumers reduce consumption, purchase more discount brands and consider lower-priced nicotine products, increasing the market share of competitive discount products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, due to inflationary pressures and other adverse macroeconomic factors, our operating companies may be unable to sufficiently increase the prices of their premium products to offset volume declines from consumers down-trading to lower-priced competitive brands or moving across nicotine product categories.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Throughout 2025, U.S. adult nicotine consumers faced persistent inflationary pressures on discretionary income, with lower-income consumers particularly affected. Inflation remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, and elevated prices for essentials such as groceries and housing continued to constrain spending, prompting many low-income earners to cut back and rely more heavily on credit.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“These calculations may be affected by several factors, including general macroeconomic conditions, the proliferation of illicit products, government actions, including FDA regulatory actions and inaction, changes in category growth (decline) rates as a result of changing adult nicotine consumer preferences, success of planned new product expansions, competitive activity, unfavorable outcomes with respect to litigation proceedings, including actions brought against us alleging patent infringement, and income and excise taxes.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Shifts in crops (such as those driven by macroeconomic conditions and adverse weather patterns), government restrictions and mandated prices, production control programs, economic trade sanctions, import duties and tariffs, international trade disruptions, labor disruptions, inflation, geopolitical instability, climate and environmental changes and disruptions due to man-made or natural disasters may increase the cost or reduce the supply or quality of tobacco and other raw materials, ingredients and component parts used to manufacture our operating companies’ products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions (including tariffs, inflation, labor shortages, supply and demand imbalances and international armed conflicts) are causing worldwide disruptions and delays to supply chains and commercial markets, which limit access to, and increase the cost of, raw materials, ingredients and component parts (for example, wood tips used in our cigar products and aluminum used in our packaging).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, we are monitoring other effects of tariffs on our businesses, including the price, availability and quality of tobacco, raw materials, ingredients and component parts used to manufacture our operating companies’ products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“These settlements require participating manufacturers to make substantial annual payments, which are adjusted 37 Table of Contents for several factors, including inflation, operating income, market share and industry volume. Higher rates of inflation can increase our financial liability under the State Settlement Agreements as the State Settlement Agreements’ inflation calculations require us to apply the higher of 3% or the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (“CPI-U”) percentage rate as published in January of each year.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Price, Availability and Quality of Tobacco, Other Raw Materials, Ingredients and Component Parts Shifts in crops (such as those driven by economic conditions, adverse weather patterns and natural disasters), government restrictions and mandated prices, production control programs, economic trade sanctions, import duties and tariffs, international trade disruptions, labor disruptions, inflation, geopolitical instability, climate and environmental changes and disruptions due to man-made or natural disasters may increase the cost or reduce the supply or quality of tobacco and other raw materials, ingredients and component parts used to manufacture our operating companies’ products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Pricing Actions PM USA and Middleton executed the following pricing actions during 2025 and 2024: ▪Effective October 12, 2025, PM USA increased the list price of Marlboro (excluding Mainline Menthol and 72s Menthol) and L&M by $0.17 per pack. PM USA also increased the list price of all its other premium cigarette brands by $0.22 per pack.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Net revenues, which include excise taxes billed to customers, increased $26 million (0.9%), as higher pricing ($263 million), which includes higher promotional investments, was mostly offset by lower shipment volume and a higher percentage of on! shipment volume relative to MST (“volume/mix”) ($237 million).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Consumer spending, strengthens Interest rates

Consumer spending

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Overall discretionary income pressures on adult nicotine consumers have resulted in increased discount brand share performance and continued to contribute to evolving adult nicotine consumer preferences, each of which has negatively impacted the sales volumes of our operating companies’ premium brands. For the fourth quarter of 2025, the discount retail share of the cigarette category reached 32.9%, an increase of 2.6 share points versus the fourth quarter of 2024 and 0.7 share points sequentially.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“2025 Compared with 2024 Our smokeable products segment’s reported domestic cigarettes shipment volume decreased 10.0%, driven primarily by the industry’s decline rate (impacted by the continued growth of flavored disposable e-vapor products, the majority of which we believe have evaded the regulatory process, and discretionary income pressures on adult nicotine consumers), retail share losses and calendar differences.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Total cigarettes industry discount category retail share was 31.8%, an increase of 2.2 share points, primarily due to continued discretionary income pressures on adult nicotine consumers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Executive Summary Our Business We have a leading portfolio of tobacco products for U.S. tobacco consumers age 21+.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Inflation weakens
Chains out: this strengthens Retail, strengthens Hospitality and leisure, strengthens Premium consumers, strengthens Grocery retail and private label

Artificial intelligence

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We are Moving Beyond SmokingTM, by responsibly transitioning adult smokers to a smoke-free future, competing vigorously for existing smoke-free adult nicotine consumers and exploring new growth opportunities - beyond the United States and beyond nicotine (“Vision”).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Data centres, strengthens Semiconductors and electronic components, strengthens Semiconductor industry

Automation and robotics

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“In October 2024, we announced the multi-phase Initiative, which is designed to enhance organizational speed, efficiency and effectiveness. The Initiative includes centralizing work, outsourcing certain transactional activities and streamlining, automating and standardizing processes across the enterprise.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Digitalisation

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“In October 2024, we announced the multi-phase Initiative, which is designed to enhance organizational speed, efficiency and effectiveness. The Initiative includes centralizing work, outsourcing certain transactional activities and streamlining, automating and standardizing processes across the enterprise.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Cybersecurity (products and services) strengthens, Public investment and infrastructure strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens IT consulting and public-sector IT

EU climate and energy policy

Regulation

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Smoke-Free Portfolio ▪Due to ongoing market disruption caused by illicit e-vapor products that have evaded the regulatory process, we continue to reassess our smoke-free goals and expect to provide updated goals when we have more clarity on how the legitimate e-vapor market may evolve. We remain steadfast in our commitment to our Vision and to building a portfolio of FDA-authorized smoke-free products for adult smokers and adult nicotine consumers currently using smoke-free products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Circular economy and recycling, strengthens Energy efficiency

Retail

End markets

Market

“▪Distribution, Competition and Raw Materials: Our tobacco subsidiaries sell their tobacco products principally to wholesalers (including distributors) and large retail organizations, including chain stores.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Consumer spending strengthens

Cyber attacks and IT security risk

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“From time-to-time, we and our service providers, suppliers and trade customers experience attempts to infiltrate and interrupt information systems. We have not experienced an information security breach within the past three years, and to date, we have not experienced any interruptions of information systems as a result of infiltration attempts. However, because technology is increasingly complex and cyber-attacks are increasingly sophisticated and more frequent, there can be no assurance that such incidents will not cause interruptions that could have a material adverse effect on us in the future.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Outsourcing certain business functions pursuant to the Initiative may increase our exposure to risks such as data breaches, which could compromise sensitive information. Implementation of new technology and systems deployment may increase our risk of data security incidents, internal control failures and regulatory noncompliance.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Our operating companies face risks inherent in reliance on a few significant manufacturing facilities and a small number of key suppliers, distributors and distribution chain service providers. A natural or man-made disaster, cybersecurity incident, global pandemic, labor disruption or other disruption that affects the manufacturing operations of any of our operating companies, the operations of any key supplier, distributor or distribution chain service provider of any of our operating companies or any other disruption in the supply or distribution of goods or services (including a key supplier’s inability to comply with government regulations, lack of available workers or unwillingness to supply goods or services to a tobacco company) could adversely impact operations.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Cybersecurity (products and services)

Geopolitical uncertainty

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Furthermore, many of the outsourced tasks are or will be performed in developing countries that may be at a heightened risk for geopolitical uncertainty, which could result in service interruptions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition to the judgments discussed above, the following factors also have the potential to impact our assumptions and thus the expected future cash flows and, therefore, our impairment conclusions: general macroeconomic conditions; governmental actions, including FDA regulatory actions and inaction; changes in category growth (decline) rates as a result of changing adult nicotine consumer preferences; success of planned new product expansions; competitive activity; unfavorable outcomes with respect to litigation proceedings, including actions brought against us alleging patent infringement; and income and excise taxes.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Price, Availability and Quality of Tobacco, Other Raw Materials, Ingredients and Component Parts Shifts in crops (such as those driven by economic conditions, adverse weather patterns and natural disasters), government restrictions and mandated prices, production control programs, economic trade sanctions, import duties and tariffs, international trade disruptions, labor disruptions, inflation, geopolitical instability, climate and environmental changes and disruptions due to man-made or natural disasters may increase the cost or reduce the supply or quality of tobacco and other raw materials, ingredients and component parts used to manufacture our operating companies’ products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Defence budgets, strengthens Energy security, strengthens Tariffs and trade policy, weakens Global trade volumes, strengthens Sea freight and freight rates, weakens Reconstruction of Ukraine

Global trade volumes

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Additional price competition has resulted from diversion into the United States market of cigarettes intended for sale outside the United States, diversion of tobacco products intended for sale in one taxing jurisdiction within the United States into another taxing jurisdiction, the sale of counterfeit cigarettes by third parties, the sale of cigarettes by third parties over the Internet and by other means designed to avoid collection of applicable taxes and imports of foreign lower-priced brands.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Current geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions (including tariffs, inflation, labor shortages, supply and demand imbalances and international armed conflicts) are causing worldwide disruptions and delays to supply chains and commercial markets, which limit access to, and increase the cost of, raw materials, ingredients and component parts (for example, wood tips used in our cigar products and aluminum used in our packaging).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Tariffs and trade policy weakens, Geopolitical uncertainty weakens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics

Climate change and extreme weather

Macro

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Shifts in crops (such as those driven by macroeconomic conditions and adverse weather patterns), government restrictions and mandated prices, production control programs, economic trade sanctions, import duties and tariffs, international trade disruptions, labor disruptions, inflation, geopolitical instability, climate and environmental changes and disruptions due to man-made or natural disasters may increase the cost or reduce the supply or quality of tobacco and other raw materials, ingredients and component parts used to manufacture our operating companies’ products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Agriculture and food production

Consumer preference shifts

End markets

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Although the estimated fair value of the Skoal trademark exceeded its carrying value by approximately 7% ($0.3 billion), MST products, including Skoal, continued to be negatively impacted due in part to evolving adult nicotine consumer preferences, which have continued to contribute to reductions in sales volumes for MST products, including Skoal. If the decline in sales volume for Skoal is higher than currently estimated and results in material revenue declines, we believe there may be a material adverse effect on the significant assumptions used in performing our valuation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this mixed effect Beer and beverages

Cybersecurity (products and services)

Technology

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In 2025, we recorded impairments of the values of the goodwill and other intangible assets within our e-vapor reporting unit as a result of the ITC exclusion order and cease-and-desist orders prohibiting the importation and sale of NJOY ACE into the United States and our expectation that effective enforcement against illicit flavored disposable e-vapor products would occur more gradually than initially anticipated.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Cyber attacks and IT security risk strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Digitalisation

Interest rates

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Capital Markets and Financing Risks Disruption and uncertainty in the credit and capital markets could materially adversely affect our business. Access to the credit and capital markets is important for us to satisfy our liquidity and financing needs. We typically access the commercial paper market in the second quarter to help fund payments under the Master Settlement Agreement (“MSA”), tax obligations and shareholder dividends.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Public debt and fiscal policy strengthens, Inflation strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Construction, weakens Real estate, weakens Wind power, weakens Housing market, weakens Office and commercial property, weakens Residential rental, weakens Residential construction

IT operations and cloud

Raw materials and inputs

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We rely extensively on information technology, much of which is managed by third-party service providers (such as cloud data service providers), to support a variety of business processes and activities, including: complying with regulatory, legal, financial reporting and tax requirements; engaging in marketing and e-commerce activities; managing and improving the effectiveness of our operations; researching, developing, manufacturing and distributing our operating companies’ products; collecting and storing sensitive data and confidential information; and communicating with employees, investors, suppliers, trade customers, adult nicotine consumers and others. Our suppliers, supply chain service providers and trade customers also rely extensively on information systems.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Agriculture and food production

End markets

InputNegative impact: weakens

“In the United States, under a contract growing program, PM USA purchases the majority of its burley and flue-cured leaf tobaccos directly from domestic tobacco growers. Under the terms of this program, PM USA agrees to purchase the amount of tobacco specified in the grower contracts that meets PM USA’s grade and quality standards.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“USSTC purchases dark fire-cured, dark air-cured and burley leaf tobaccos from domestic tobacco growers under a contract growing program. Under the terms of this program, USSTC agrees to purchase the amount of tobacco specified in the grower contracts that meets USSTC’s grade and quality standards.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“As consumer demand increases for innovative smoke-free products and decreases for combustible and MST products, the volume of tobacco leaf required for production of these products has decreased, resulting in reduced tobacco leaf demand. Reduced demand for tobacco leaf may result in the reduced supply and availability of domestic tobacco and increased costs, as growers divert resources to other crops or cease farming.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, the nicotine used in our operating companies’ innovative smoke-free products is extracted from tobacco produced in one country. If we are unable to identify alternate sources of nicotine for our operating companies’ innovative products, we could be exposed to the risks discussed above.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“As consumer demand increases for innovative smoke-free products and decreases for combustible and MST products, the volume of raw materials, ingredients and component parts required for the production of these products has decreased. Reduced demand for raw materials, ingredients and component parts may reduce supply and availability and increase the cost of raw materials, ingredients and component parts as suppliers divert resources to other products or cease producing these products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Grain and agricultural commodities mixed effect, Climate change and extreme weather weakens, Grocery retail and private label weakens

Labour and wages

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We may be unable to attract and retain a highly skilled workforce due to the decreasing social acceptance of tobacco usage, tobacco control actions and other factors, which could have a material adverse effect on our business and our ability to achieve our Vision. Our ability to implement our strategy of attracting and retaining a highly skilled workforce may be impaired by the decreasing social acceptance of tobacco usage, tobacco regulation and control actions and other factors. We compete for talent with the consumer products industry and other companies that may enjoy greater societal acceptance and fewer long-term challenges.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Number of Employees and Labor Relations At December 31, 2025, we employed approximately 5,900 people.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Twenty-six percent of our employees were hourly manufacturing employees who are members of labor unions subject to collective bargaining agreements.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Business cycle and GDP growth

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“When adjusted for trade inventory movements, smokeable products segment’s domestic cigarette shipment volume declined by an estimated 7% in the fourth quarter of 2025 versus the fourth quarter of 2024. We estimate that, when adjusted for trade inventory movements and other factors, total estimated domestic cigarette industry volume declined by 6.5% in the fourth quarter of 2025 versus the fourth quarter of 2024.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition to the judgments discussed above, the following factors also have the potential to impact our assumptions and thus the expected future cash flows and, therefore, our impairment conclusions: general macroeconomic conditions; governmental actions, including FDA regulatory actions and inaction; changes in category growth (decline) rates as a result of changing adult nicotine consumer preferences; success of planned new product expansions; competitive activity; unfavorable outcomes with respect to litigation proceedings, including actions brought against us alleging patent infringement; and income and excise taxes.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Global trade volumes, strengthens Construction

Tariffs and trade policy

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“PM USA faces competition from lower-priced brands sold by certain domestic and foreign manufacturers that have cost advantages because they are not parties to settlements of certain healthcare cost recovery litigation in the United States and, as such, are not required to make annual settlement payments as required by the parties to the settlements. These settlement payments, which are inflation-adjusted, are significant for PM USA and have contributed to substantial cigarette price increases to help cover their cost.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Meanwhile, tariffs introduced earlier in the year steadily increased over recent months, weighing on consumer confidence and adding headwinds to discretionary spending. While we have not observed a material impact on adult nicotine consumer purchasing behavior as a result of tariffs, we continue to closely monitor the additional pressure that tariff-related price increases may exert.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Geopolitical uncertainty strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Global trade volumes

Biotech and drug development

Technology

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“It is not possible to predict the results of ongoing scientific research or the types of future scientific research into the health risks of tobacco exposure and the impact of such research on legislation and regulation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: US drug pricing policy mixed effect, Patent expiry and generic competition weakens, Drug approvals strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Buying contract manufacturing and research (CMO/CRO/EMS), strengthens Contract manufacturers as a business (EMS, CMO, CRO)

Chemicals and specialty chemicals

Raw materials and inputs

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Helix, through an affiliate, and NJOY purchase tobacco-derived nicotine materials from suppliers and believe their suppliers can satisfy current and anticipated future production requirements.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Drug approvals

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The actions and inaction of regulators, including the FDA, can result in competitive challenges. For example, unpredictable and lengthy regulatory review periods complicate efforts to strategize and plan with respect to commercialization of new products, and we cannot predict or influence the speed with which the FDA reviews PMTAs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Biotech and drug development

Equity and capital markets

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“A downgrade or potential downgrade of our credit ratings could adversely impact our borrowing costs and access to credit and capital markets, which could materially adversely affect our financial condition. Rating agencies routinely evaluate us, and their ratings are based on a number of factors, including our cash generating capability, levels of indebtedness, policies with respect to shareholder distributions, the impact of strategic transactions and our financial strength generally, as well as factors beyond our control, such as the state of the economy and our industry.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

ESG and sustainability reporting

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Table of Contents Despite our efforts, any failure to achieve our corporate responsibility goals, including those aimed at reducing the harm associated with our operating companies’ products and our underage tobacco prevention goals, could result in adverse publicity. Furthermore, if investors or other stakeholders view our corporate responsibility policies, actions, goals or disclosures as insufficient or otherwise unacceptable, we could incur negative publicity and litigation challenges.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Labour regulation

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“As of February 23, 2026, 44 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico have enacted laws increasing the legal age to purchase tobacco products to 21.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Packaging regulation and deposit schemes

Regulation

InputNegative impact: weakens

“For example, certain states have passed extended producer responsibility legislation concerning packaging. Because certain of our operating companies’ products’ packaging consists of single-use plastics, single-use plastic bans and extended producer responsibility mandates could result in bans on some of our operating companies’ product packaging or their products and adversely impact our costs and revenues.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

USD vs DKK/EUR

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Risks Relating to Our Investments in Equity Securities The expected benefits of our investment in ABI may not materialize in the expected manner or timeframe or at all, which could have a material adverse impact on our financial position or earnings. The expected benefits of our investment in ABI may not materialize in the expected manner or timeframe or at all, including due to foreign currency exchange rates; ABI’s business results; ABI’s share price; impairment losses on the value of our investment; our incurrence of additional tax liabilities related to our investment in ABI; and potential reductions in the number of directors that we can have appointed to the ABI board of directors.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this mixed effect United States

Denmark

Geography

Geography

“We operate primarily within the United States and generate substantially all of our revenue from domestic customers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Pandemics and outbreaks

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, if a pandemic or similar health emergency occurs, state and local governments may reimpose additional health and safety requirements for all businesses, which could result in the potential temporary closure of certain businesses and facilities.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Aviation and travel, strengthens Vaccines (travel health and preparedness)

United States

Geography

Geography

“Executive Summary Our Business We have a leading portfolio of tobacco products for U.S. tobacco consumers age 21+.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: USD vs DKK/EUR mixed effect

Competitors mentioned in the report

No named competitors in the report.

Financial figures

Revenue
latest fiscal year
23.28 bn USD
Revenue growth
vs. the year before, same method
-3.1 %
EBITDA
reported by the company
10.17 bn USD
Net debt
debt incl. leasing minus cash
N/A
Diluted EPS
per share
4.12 USD

Source: 10-K (SEC) A. See the report

Criteria

Profit✓
Growing✗
Healthy balance sheetN/A

Only the criteria that can be computed from financial statements on this page. The remaining criteria (such as price and dividend) need a share price and are in the analysis.

Figures are in the report's currency (USD), not converted to DKK. Quotes are shown as the company's own words in English.

This page describes what the company itself writes. It isn't an assessment and isn't a recommendation. Run an analysis to see how the company connects to your view.