ConvictaFree beta

PayPal

Sector unknown·PYPL · USA (SEC 10-K)·Fiscal year to 31/12/2025

Cybersecurity (products and services)Digital payments and fintechLabour and wagesIT operations and cloudGlobal trade volumes

Our products are designed to enable digital payments and simplify commerce experiences for consumers and merchants to make selling, shopping, and sending and receiving money simple, personalized, and secure, whether online or in-person. We operate a global, two-sided network at scale that connects consumers and merchants with 439 million active accounts across approximately 200 markets as of December 31, 2025. •Consumers: We provide consumers with digital wallets and other solutions that allow them to shop and pay with PayPal and Venmo—both online and in-person—manage their finances (including saving and buying and selling cryptocurrencies), and send and receive money between friends and family.

Exposure profile

Raw materials and inputsMacroTechnologyRegulationEnd marketsGeography
Raw materials and inputs Labour and wages, IT operations and cloud
Macro Global trade volumes, Consumer spending, Business cycle and GDP growth, USD vs DKK/EUR
Technology Cybersecurity (products and services), Digital payments and fintech, Crypto assets, Data centres
Regulation Financial regulation, ESG and sustainability reporting, EU climate and energy policy, AI regulation
End markets Media and entertainment
Geography United States, Europe

Derived from what the company itself writes. Empty directions mean the report doesn't mention themes of that type.

In their own words

Grouped by theme, from the management review in the annual report. A · The company itself is a verbatim quote, B · From the report is without a verified quote.

Financial regulation

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“GOVERNMENT REGULATION We operate globally and in a rapidly evolving regulatory environment characterized by a heightened focus by regulators globally on all aspects of the payments industry, including anti-money laundering, countering terrorist financing, privacy, cybersecurity, and consumer protection. The laws and regulations applicable to us, including those enacted prior to the advent of digital payments, continue to evolve through legislative and regulatory action and judicial interpretation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Various laws and regulations govern the payments industry in the U.S. and internationally. In the U.S., PayPal, Inc. (a wholly-owned subsidiary) holds licenses to operate as a money transmitter (or its equivalent) in the states where such licenses are required, as well as in the District of Columbia and certain territories.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Outside the U.S., we provide similar services customized for various countries and foreign jurisdictions through our foreign subsidiaries. The activities of those non-U.S. entities are, or may be, supervised by a financial regulatory authority in the jurisdictions in which they operate.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In addition, financial services regulators in various jurisdictions, including the U.S. and the European Union (“EU”), have implemented payment authentication requirements for banks and payment processors intended to reduce online fraud, which could impose significant costs, make it more difficult for new customers to open PayPal accounts, and reduce the ease of use of our products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The CFPB and state regulators, including state attorneys general, have significant authority to regulate consumer financial products in the U.S., including consumer credit, deposits, payments, and similar products. As a large market participant of remittance transfers, we are subject to the direct supervisory authority of the CFPB.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Interchange fees (the transaction fees for processing credit and debit card transactions) are subject to regulation in certain jurisdictions. For example, in the EU, the Multilateral Interchange Fee Regulation caps interchange fees and provides for business rules to be complied with by any company dealing with payment card transactions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“LEGAL, REGULATORY AND COMPLIANCE RISKS Our business is subject to extensive government regulation and oversight. Our failure to comply with extensive, complex, overlapping, and frequently changing rules, regulations, and legal interpretations could materially harm our business. Our business is subject to complex and changing laws, rules, regulations, policies, licensing schemes, and legal interpretations in the markets where (and relating to the industries and merchants to which) we offer services directly or through partners, including, but not limited to, those governing: banking, credit, deposit taking, cross-border and domestic money transmission, prepaid access, foreign currency exchange, privacy, data protection, data governance, cybersecurity, banking secrecy, digital payments, cryptocurrency, payment services (including payment processing and settlement services), lending, fraud detection, consumer protection, antitrust and competition, economic and trade sanctions, anti-money laundering, and counter-terrorist financing.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Payments Regulation In the U.S., PayPal, Inc. (a wholly-owned subsidiary) holds licenses to operate as a money transmitter (or its equivalent) in the states where such licenses are required, as well as in the District of Columbia and certain territories. If we fail to comply with applicable laws or regulations required to maintain our licenses, we could be subject to liability and/or additional restrictions, forced to cease doing business with residents of certain states or territories, forced to change our business practices, or required to obtain additional licenses or regulatory approvals, which could impose substantial costs and harm our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing; Economic and Trade Sanctions Regulators globally continue to increase standards and expectations regarding anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing, and to expand the scope of existing laws and regulations to emerging products and markets, which may require us to revise or expand our compliance program globally and/or in specific jurisdictions, including the procedures we use to verify the identity of our customers and to monitor international and domestic transactions. Such changes could increase the costs and complexity of compliance, lead to increased friction for customers, and result in a decrease in business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Privacy and Protection of Customer Data The legal and regulatory environment relating to privacy and data protection laws continues to develop and evolve in ways we cannot predict, including with respect to technologies such as cloud computing, AI (including generative AI), cryptocurrency, and blockchain technology. Any failure or alleged failure by us to comply with our privacy policies as communicated to customers or with applicable privacy and data protection laws relating to our collection, use, storage, transfer, or sharing of customer data with third parties could result in proceedings or actions against us by data protection authorities, other government agencies, our customers or others, which could subject us to significant fines, penalties, judgments, and negative publicity, require us to change our business practices, increase the costs and complexity of compliance, damage our reputation, and materially harm our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Many jurisdictions in which we operate globally have enacted, or are in the process of enacting, data privacy legislation or regulations aimed at creating and enhancing individual privacy rights, including with respect to the use of personal data for personalization and cross-contextual advertising. For example, numerous U.S. states have enacted or are in the process of enacting state-level data privacy laws and regulations governing the collection, use, and retention of their residents’ personal information as well as specific privacy obligations with respect to youth.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We are subject to regulatory scrutiny and may be subject to legal proceedings under antitrust and competition laws. We are subject to scrutiny by various government agencies regarding antitrust and competition laws and regulations in the U.S. and internationally, including in connection with proposed or implemented business combinations, acquisitions, investments, partnerships, commercial agreements and business practices.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In the event of any termination or interruption in a partner bank’s ability or willingness to lend, our ability to offer consumer credit and merchant financing products could be interrupted or limited, which could materially and adversely affect our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Lending Regulation We hold a number of U.S. state lending licenses for our U.S. consumer short-term installment loan product, which is subject to federal and state laws governing consumer credit and debt collection. Similarly, the consumer short-term installment loan products that we offer outside the U.S. may be subject to consumer credit legislation, licensing requirements, consumer lending laws, consumer protection or banking transparency regulations. Increased global regulatory focus on short-term installment products and consumer credit more broadly could result in laws or regulations requiring changes to our product offerings, policies, procedures, and operations, and restrict or limit our ability to offer credit products.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Consumer spending

Macro

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“KEY PERFORMANCE METRICS In 2025, we processed $1.79 trillion of total payment volume (“TPV”), an increase of 7% compared to 2024, and 25.4 billion payment transactions, a decrease of 4% compared to 2024.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“STRATEGY Our ability to grow revenue is affected by, among other things, the macroeconomic environment and its impact on commerce and economic growth, consumer spending patterns, adoption of digital payment methods, the growth of multiple commerce channels, the growth of mobile devices and commerce and payment applications on those devices, the growth of consumers and merchants globally with internet and mobile access, the pace of transition from cash and checks to digital forms of payment, our share of digital payments, and our ability to innovate and introduce new products, services, and features that consumers and merchants value.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We differentiate ourselves to consumers through our broad acceptance and the ability to use our products and services across multiple commerce channels, including e-commerce, mobile, and offline payments, and without sharing their financial information with the merchant or any other party they are paying; our customer service, dispute resolution, and purchase protection programs; and our ability to simplify and personalize shopping experiences.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Our products are designed to enable digital payments and simplify commerce experiences for consumers and merchants to make selling, shopping, and sending and receiving money simple, personalized, and secure, whether online or in-person. We operate a global, two-sided network at scale that connects consumers and merchants with 439 million active accounts across approximately 200 markets as of December 31, 2025. •Consumers: We provide consumers with digital wallets and other solutions that allow them to shop and pay with PayPal and Venmo—both online and in-person—manage their finances (including saving and buying and selling cryptocurrencies), and send and receive money between friends and family.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We offer credit products to eligible consumers in certain markets as a funding source at checkout. Our consumer credit offerings include our BNPL products in the U.S., Germany, France, United Kingdom (“U.K.”), and Australia, among other markets, and in Japan through our Paidy brand.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Our Venmo digital wallet in the United States (“U.S.”) is a leading mobile application used to move money between friends and family. Our Xoom international money transfer service enables our customers to send money to bank accounts, mobile wallets, and cash pick-up destinations around the world in a secure, fast, and cost-effective way.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Our PayPal and Venmo branded checkout experiences allow consumers to complete purchases in just a few steps without having to enter payment and address information. We also focus on simplifying and personalizing shopping experiences for our consumers by offering tools for product discovery, price tracking, saving through deals and offers, convenient package tracking, and earning and redeeming of shopping rewards.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We offer credit products to a wide range of consumers and merchants in the U.S. and various international markets.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Inflation weakens
Chains out: this strengthens Retail, strengthens Hospitality and leisure, strengthens Premium consumers, strengthens Grocery retail and private label

Digital payments and fintech

Technology

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Table of Contents If we become unable or limited in our ability to accept certain payment types such as debit or credit cards, our business would be materially and adversely affected. Changes in how consumers fund their PayPal transactions could harm our business. We pay transaction fees when consumers fund payment transactions using credit cards, lower fees when consumers fund payments with debit cards, and nominal fees when consumers fund payment transactions by electronic transfer of funds from bank accounts, from an existing PayPal or Venmo account balance, or through our PayPal branded consumer credit products. Our financial performance is sensitive to changes in the rate at which our consumers fund payments using payment cards, which can significantly increase our costs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“The credit decision-making process for our consumer credit products uses proprietary methodologies, credit algorithms and other analytical techniques designed to analyze the credit risk of specific consumers based on, among other factors, their past purchase and transaction history with PayPal or Venmo and their credit scores. Similarly, proprietary risk models and other indicators are applied to assess merchants who desire to use our merchant financing offerings to help predict their ability to repay.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We offer credit products to eligible consumers in certain markets as a funding source at checkout. Our consumer credit offerings include our BNPL products in the U.S., Germany, France, United Kingdom (“U.K.”), and Australia, among other markets, and in Japan through our Paidy brand.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We provide large enterprises and small and medium businesses with online branded checkout solutions, including PayPal and Venmo; online unbranded payments processing; PayPal buy now, pay later (“BNPL”) solutions; in-person point of sale solutions; business financing; payouts capabilities; and risk tools.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Our unbranded payments processing solutions allow merchants to quickly and easily provide digital checkout online with a variety of popular ways to pay, including debit and credit cards, digital wallets, BNPL, certain cryptocurrencies, and local payment methods.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We offer credit products to a wide range of consumers and merchants in the U.S. and various international markets.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“PayPal Working Capital (“PPWC”) and PayPal Business Loan (“PPBL”) products and certain U.S. installment loan products are provided by a state-chartered industrial bank under a program agreement with us, and we acquire the receivables generated by those loans from the state-chartered bank after origination.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Cybersecurity (products and services)

Technology

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have a comprehensive cybersecurity program designed to protect our technology infrastructure and payments platform against cybersecurity threats, which includes regularly testing our systems to identify and address potential vulnerabilities.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“GOVERNMENT REGULATION We operate globally and in a rapidly evolving regulatory environment characterized by a heightened focus by regulators globally on all aspects of the payments industry, including anti-money laundering, countering terrorist financing, privacy, cybersecurity, and consumer protection. The laws and regulations applicable to us, including those enacted prior to the advent of digital payments, continue to evolve through legislative and regulatory action and judicial interpretation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Failure to deal effectively with fraud, abusive behaviors, bad transactions, and negative customer experiences may increase our loss rate and could severely diminish merchant and consumer confidence in and use of our services and negatively impact our business. We expect that third parties will continue to attempt to abuse access to and misuse our payments services to commit fraud by, among other things, creating fictitious accounts using stolen or synthetic identities or personal information, taking over customer accounts or creating fraudulent accounts, making transactions with stolen financial instruments, abusing or misusing our services for financial gain, or fraudulently inducing users of our products and services into engaging in fraudulent transactions. Due to the nature of our digital payments services, third parties may seek to engage in abusive schemes or fraud attacks that are often difficult to detect and may be deployed at a scale that would otherwise not be possible in physical transactions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We offer a suite of value added services, including payouts, payments orchestration, and fraud prevention and risk management solutions that help reduce merchant losses through our proprietary protection programs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Cyber attacks and IT security risk strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Digitalisation

Artificial intelligence

Technology

InputNegative impact: weakens

“RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Our total research and development expense was $1.5 billion in both 2025 and 2024 and $1.6 billion in 2023.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We have released numerous products, services, and improvements to our platform in 2025. •Risk and compliance management—our enterprise risk and compliance management program is designed to help keep customer information secure and to help ensure we process legitimate transactions around the world, while identifying and minimizing illegal, high-risk, or fraudulent transactions. •Regulatory licenses—we believe that our regulatory licenses, which enable us to operate in markets around the world, are a distinct advantage and help support business growth.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“•Expanding our value proposition for consumers and merchants to drive daily use: by providing consumers with simple, secure, and flexible ways to shop and move money across different markets, merchants, and platforms, including offering BNPL options, purchase protection programs, and simplifying their shopping experiences; by being technology and platform agnostic; and by expanding and launching capabilities that allow consumers to shop in and pay wherever they want to make a purchase—online, in-person and through artificial intelligence (“AI”) agents; by partnering with our merchants to grow and expand their business online and offline, including offering merchants risk management and seller protection programs; and by delivering payment-adjacent capabilities. •Unlocking the power of data: by responsibly utilizing data in our two-sided platform to personalize consumer offerings, we will create more value for our customers, improve the interconnectedness of our platform, and tap into new sources of revenue and profitable growth.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“•Seeking new areas of growth: innovate the future of commerce by focusing on creating new products and services in both the digital and physical worlds, including crypto and digital currencies (such as the PayPal USD stablecoin), agentic commerce, advertising-related services, and cross-wallet interoperability through PayPal World, and finding opportunities to expand and improve upon our existing products and capabilities.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“If we cannot keep pace with rapid technological developments to provide new and innovative products and services, the use of our products and services and, consequently, our revenues, could decline. Rapid, significant, and disruptive technological changes impact the industries in which we operate, including payment technologies (including real-time payments, payment card tokenization, virtual currencies, distributed ledger and blockchain technologies, and proximity payment technology such as Near Field Communication and other contactless payments); web browser technologies that enable users to easily store their payment card information for use on any retail or e-commerce website; AI; developments in technologies supporting our regulatory and compliance obligations; and in-store, digital, agentic and social commerce.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Data centres, strengthens Semiconductors and electronic components, strengthens Semiconductor industry

Crypto assets

Technology

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“In certain cases, these licenses also generally cover PayPal’s service enabling customers to buy, hold, transfer, and sell cryptocurrency directly from their PayPal or Venmo account. PayPal holds a full Bitlicense issued by the State of New York Department of Financial Services to offer cryptocurrency services in the state.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We hold our customers’ cryptocurrency assets through one or more third-party custodians. Financial and third-party risks related to our customer cryptocurrency offerings, such as inappropriate access to, theft, or destruction of cryptocurrency assets held by our custodians, insufficient insurance coverage by a custodian to fully reimburse us for such losses, a custodian’s failure to maintain effective controls over the custody and settlement services provided to us, a custodian’s inability to purchase or liquidate cryptocurrency holdings, the failure of the PYUSD Issuer to maintain sufficient reserve assets backing PYUSD, and defaults on financial or performance obligations by a custodian, banks with which the PYUSD Issuer maintains reserve assets or counterparty financial institutions, could expose us and our customers to loss and significantly harm our business, financial condition, and reputation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We have selected custodian partners and the PYUSD Issuer, and may in the future select additional custodian partners and stablecoin issuing entities subject to regulatory oversight, capital requirements, maintenance of audit and compliance industry certifications, and cybersecurity procedures and policies. Any operational disruptions at any such custodian or issuer, or such custodians’ or issuer’s failure to safeguard cryptocurrency holdings (or reserve assets), could result in losses of customer assets, expose us to customer claims, reduce consumer confidence, harm our reputation, and materially impact our cryptocurrency product offerings and our operating results.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“•Seeking new areas of growth: innovate the future of commerce by focusing on creating new products and services in both the digital and physical worlds, including crypto and digital currencies (such as the PayPal USD stablecoin), agentic commerce, advertising-related services, and cross-wallet interoperability through PayPal World, and finding opportunities to expand and improve upon our existing products and capabilities.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“When shopping, we offer consumers flexibility in how they pay, which may include a bank account, a PayPal or Venmo account balance, PayPal-branded consumer credit and debit products, other credit and debit cards, certain cryptocurrencies, or other stored value products such as gift cards, and eligible rewards.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Digitalisation

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our communications and marketing efforts across multiple geographies and demographic groups play an important role in building brand visibility, usage, and overall preference among customers. •Platform agnostic—we are technology and platform agnostic. This approach allows our merchants to offer and use a variety of our branded and unbranded payment processing solutions and business financing products, alongside other tools. We give consumers flexibility to make and receive payments using a wide variety of funding options and digital wallet solutions, including their bank account, PayPal and Venmo account balance, BNPL, certain cryptocurrencies, and debit and credit card options.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“•Increasing omnichannel engagement: through the PayPal-branded debit and credit cards, rewards programs, and seamless integration into digital wallets that support in-person payments, we are giving consumers more reasons to use PayPal and Venmo for in-person as well as online (including agentic) purchases. Providing consumers more opportunities to use PayPal for omnichannel purchases will help us to drive engagement. •Building and expanding strategic partnerships: by building new strategic partnerships and deepening existing ones to provide better experiences for our customers, offer greater choice and flexibility, acquire new customers, and reinforce our role in the payments and commerce ecosystem. •One PayPal platform: by investing in state-of-the-art technology, architecture, and processes to deliver high-quality products and services to our customers more efficiently and effectively.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“If we cannot keep pace with rapid technological developments to provide new and innovative products and services, the use of our products and services and, consequently, our revenues, could decline. Rapid, significant, and disruptive technological changes impact the industries in which we operate, including payment technologies (including real-time payments, payment card tokenization, virtual currencies, distributed ledger and blockchain technologies, and proximity payment technology such as Near Field Communication and other contactless payments); web browser technologies that enable users to easily store their payment card information for use on any retail or e-commerce website; AI; developments in technologies supporting our regulatory and compliance obligations; and in-store, digital, agentic and social commerce.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Cybersecurity (products and services) strengthens, Public investment and infrastructure strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens IT consulting and public-sector IT

E-commerce

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our strategy to drive growth in our business includes the following: •Accelerating growth in our branded checkout business: by improving our user experience, including by reducing friction and enhancing rewards, we will drive consumer selection and increase conversion rates for merchants. This strategy will increase our customers’ engagement with our products and services.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Our products are designed to enable digital payments and simplify commerce experiences for consumers and merchants to make selling, shopping, and sending and receiving money simple, personalized, and secure, whether online or in-person. We operate a global, two-sided network at scale that connects consumers and merchants with 439 million active accounts across approximately 200 markets as of December 31, 2025. •Consumers: We provide consumers with digital wallets and other solutions that allow them to shop and pay with PayPal and Venmo—both online and in-person—manage their finances (including saving and buying and selling cryptocurrencies), and send and receive money between friends and family.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Our PayPal and Venmo branded checkout experiences allow customers to complete purchases in just a few steps without having to enter payment and address information. These seamless experiences reduce cart abandonment and drive higher conversion rates for merchants.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Industrial manufacturing

End markets

Market

“•Merchants: We help merchants connect with customers, increase conversion rates and sales, and grow their businesses in the markets where our services are available. We provide large enterprises and small and medium businesses with online branded checkout solutions, including PayPal and Venmo; online unbranded payments processing; PayPal buy now, pay later (“BNPL”) solutions; in-person point of sale solutions; business financing; payouts capabilities; and risk tools.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“We offer credit products to a wide range of consumers and merchants in the U.S. and various international markets.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

SMEs

End markets

Market

“In certain markets, we offer access to merchant financing products for eligible small and medium-sized businesses through our PayPal Working Capital (“PPWC”) and PayPal Business Loan (“PPBL”) products, which we collectively refer to as our merchant financing solutions. Our PPWC product allows businesses to access a loan or cash advance (depending on a merchant’s home country) for a fixed fee, based on their annual payment volume processed by PayPal.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“•Merchants: We help merchants connect with customers, increase conversion rates and sales, and grow their businesses in the markets where our services are available. We provide large enterprises and small and medium businesses with online branded checkout solutions, including PayPal and Venmo; online unbranded payments processing; PayPal buy now, pay later (“BNPL”) solutions; in-person point of sale solutions; business financing; payouts capabilities; and risk tools.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Aviation and travel

End markets

Market

“Our Venmo digital wallet in the United States (“U.S.”) is a leading mobile application used to move money between friends and family. Our Xoom international money transfer service enables our customers to send money to bank accounts, mobile wallets, and cash pick-up destinations around the world in a secure, fast, and cost-effective way.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Fuel strengthens, Pandemics and outbreaks weakens

M&A and consolidation

Macro

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We believe that our competitive strengths include the following: •Two-sided platform—we facilitate online and offline transactions for millions of consumers and merchants. Our relationship on both sides of a transaction enables us to utilize data to innovate and offer unique product experiences designed to remove friction, drive sales, and enhance shopping experiences. •Trusted brands—we have built well-recognized and trusted brands, including PayPal and Venmo.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Interest rates

Macro

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“We also earn revenue from interest earned on certain assets underlying customer balances.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The non-payment rate among account holders may increase due to, among other factors, changes to underwriting standards, risk models not accurately predicting the creditworthiness of a user, worsening economic conditions, such as recessions, economic downturns or government austerity programs, increases in prevailing interest rates, and high unemployment rates.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Additionally, any inability to access the capital markets when needed due to volatility or illiquidity in the markets, liquidity needs due to unanticipated reductions in customer balances, or increased regulatory liquidity and capital requirements may strain our liquidity position. Such conditions may also expose us to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates or interest rates that could materially and adversely affect our financial results.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“INTEREST RATE RISK We are exposed to interest rate risk relating to our investment portfolio, from interest-rate sensitive assets underlying the customer balances we hold on our consolidated balance sheets as customer accounts, and a portion of our debt.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Higher interest rates often lead to larger payment obligations by customers of our credit products to us, or to lenders under mortgage, credit card, and other consumer and merchant loans, which may reduce our customers’ ability to remain current on their obligations to us and therefore lead to increased delinquencies, charge-offs, and allowances for loans and interest receivable, which could have an adverse effect on our net income (loss).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Public debt and fiscal policy strengthens, Inflation strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Construction, weakens Real estate, weakens Wind power, weakens Housing market, weakens Office and commercial property, weakens Residential rental, weakens Residential construction

USD vs DKK/EUR

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We generate revenue from consumers from: foreign currency conversions, instant transfers from their PayPal or Venmo account to their bank account or debit card, and facilitating the purchase and sale of cryptocurrencies; interest, fees, or other revenue from our credit products; and other miscellaneous fees.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Cross-border trade has been and may be negatively impacted by various factors including foreign exchange rate fluctuations; changes in or new tariffs, trade disputes, barriers or restrictions threats of such actions, and the related uncertainty thereof; sanctions; import or export controls; and the interpretation and application of laws of multiple jurisdictions in the context of cross-border trade and foreign exchange.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Additionally, any inability to access the capital markets when needed due to volatility or illiquidity in the markets, liquidity needs due to unanticipated reductions in customer balances, or increased regulatory liquidity and capital requirements may strain our liquidity position. Such conditions may also expose us to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates or interest rates that could materially and adversely affect our financial results.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK We have significant operations internationally that are denominated in foreign currencies, primarily the British pound, Euro, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, and Indian rupee, which subject us to foreign exchange risk and may adversely impact our financial results. We transact in various foreign currencies and have significant international revenues and expenses.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We are generally a net receiver of foreign currencies and therefore benefit from a weakening of the United States (“U.S.”) dollar, and are adversely affected by a strengthening of the U.S. dollar, relative to foreign currencies.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this mixed effect United States

Business cycle and GDP growth

Macro

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“KEY PERFORMANCE METRICS In 2025, we processed $1.79 trillion of total payment volume (“TPV”), an increase of 7% compared to 2024, and 25.4 billion payment transactions, a decrease of 4% compared to 2024.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“STRATEGY Our ability to grow revenue is affected by, among other things, the macroeconomic environment and its impact on commerce and economic growth, consumer spending patterns, adoption of digital payment methods, the growth of multiple commerce channels, the growth of mobile devices and commerce and payment applications on those devices, the growth of consumers and merchants globally with internet and mobile access, the pace of transition from cash and checks to digital forms of payment, our share of digital payments, and our ability to innovate and introduce new products, services, and features that consumers and merchants value.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The non-payment rate among account holders may increase due to, among other factors, changes to underwriting standards, risk models not accurately predicting the creditworthiness of a user, worsening economic conditions, such as recessions, economic downturns or government austerity programs, increases in prevailing interest rates, and high unemployment rates.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Global trade volumes, strengthens Construction

Cyber attacks and IT security risk

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Techniques used to attempt to obtain unauthorized or illegal access to systems and information (including customers’ personal data), disable or degrade service, exploit vulnerabilities, or sabotage systems are continuously evolving. These attempts may not be recognized or detected until after they have been launched against a target.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We believe that hostile actors, who may comprise individuals, coordinated groups, sophisticated organizations, or nation-state supported entities, may target PayPal due to our name, brand recognition, types of data (including sensitive payments- and identity-related data) that customers provide to us, and the widespread adoption and use of our products and services.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We hold our customers’ cryptocurrency assets through one or more third-party custodians. Financial and third-party risks related to our customer cryptocurrency offerings, such as inappropriate access to, theft, or destruction of cryptocurrency assets held by our custodians, insufficient insurance coverage by a custodian to fully reimburse us for such losses, a custodian’s failure to maintain effective controls over the custody and settlement services provided to us, a custodian’s inability to purchase or liquidate cryptocurrency holdings, the failure of the PYUSD Issuer to maintain sufficient reserve assets backing PYUSD, and defaults on financial or performance obligations by a custodian, banks with which the PYUSD Issuer maintains reserve assets or counterparty financial institutions, could expose us and our customers to loss and significantly harm our business, financial condition, and reputation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Cybersecurity (products and services)

Global trade volumes

Macro

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“We earn revenues primarily by charging fees for completing payment transactions for our customers and other payment-related services, which are typically based on the volume of activity processed on our payments platform.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our payments platform connects with financial services providers around the world and allows consumers to make purchases using a wide range of payment methods, regardless of where a merchant is located. Consumers who use our payments platform can send payments in approximately 200 markets around the world and in approximately 140 currencies, withdraw funds to their bank accounts in 57 currencies, and hold balances in their eligible PayPal accounts in 24 currencies.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Any factors that reduce cross-border trade or make such trade more difficult could harm our business. Cross-border trade (i.e., transactions where the merchant and consumer are in different countries) is an important source of our revenues and profits. Cross-border transactions generally provide higher revenues and operating income than similar transactions that take place within a single country or market.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Tariffs and trade policy weakens, Geopolitical uncertainty weakens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics

Labour and wages

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We may be unable to attract, retain, and develop the highly skilled employees we need to support our business. Competition for key and other highly skilled personnel is intense, particularly for executive talent, software engineers, and other technology talent.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“HUMAN CAPITAL At PayPal, we consider the management of our global talent (human capital) to be essential to the ongoing success of our business. As of December 31, 2025, we employed approximately 23,800 people globally, with 46% in the Americas, 42% in Asia-Pacific, and 12% in Europe and the Middle East.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We rely on third parties in many aspects of our business, including, but not limited to, networks, banks, payment processors, and payment gateways that link us to the payment card and bank clearing networks to process transactions; unaffiliated third-party lenders to originate U.S. credit products to consumers, U.S. merchant financing, and branded credit card products; branded debit card and savings products issued by unaffiliated banks; cryptocurrency custodial service providers; and external business partners and contractors who provide key functions (including, but not limited to, data center facilities and cloud computing, IT, and outsourced customer support, accounting, human resources, and product development functions).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Other currencies

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We generate revenue from consumers from: foreign currency conversions, instant transfers from their PayPal or Venmo account to their bank account or debit card, and facilitating the purchase and sale of cryptocurrencies; interest, fees, or other revenue from our credit products; and other miscellaneous fees.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our payments platform connects with financial services providers around the world and allows consumers to make purchases using a wide range of payment methods, regardless of where a merchant is located. Consumers who use our payments platform can send payments in approximately 200 markets around the world and in approximately 140 currencies, withdraw funds to their bank accounts in 57 currencies, and hold balances in their eligible PayPal accounts in 24 currencies.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK We have significant operations internationally that are denominated in foreign currencies, primarily the British pound, Euro, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar, and Indian rupee, which subject us to foreign exchange risk and may adversely impact our financial results. We transact in various foreign currencies and have significant international revenues and expenses.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Tariffs and trade policy

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We are also required to comply with economic and trade sanctions administered by the U.S., the European Union (“EU”) and its member states, the U.K., and other jurisdictions in which we operate. Non-compliance with anti-money laundering laws and regulations or economic and trade sanctions may subject us to significant fines, penalties, lawsuits, and enforcement actions, result in regulatory sanctions and additional compliance requirements, increase regulatory scrutiny of our business, restrict our operations, and damage our reputation and brands.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Any factors that reduce cross-border trade or make such trade more difficult could harm our business. Cross-border trade (i.e., transactions where the merchant and consumer are in different countries) is an important source of our revenues and profits. Cross-border transactions generally provide higher revenues and operating income than similar transactions that take place within a single country or market.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Cross-border trade has been and may be negatively impacted by various factors including foreign exchange rate fluctuations; changes in or new tariffs, trade disputes, barriers or restrictions threats of such actions, and the related uncertainty thereof; sanctions; import or export controls; and the interpretation and application of laws of multiple jurisdictions in the context of cross-border trade and foreign exchange.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Geopolitical uncertainty strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Global trade volumes

ESG and sustainability reporting

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Data protection and privacy. We are subject to a number of laws, rules, directives, and regulations (“privacy and data protection laws”) relating to the collection, use, retention, security, processing, and transfer (collectively, “processing”) of personally identifiable information about our customers, our merchants’ customers, and employees (“personal data”) in the countries where we operate.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Privacy and Protection of Customer Data The legal and regulatory environment relating to privacy and data protection laws continues to develop and evolve in ways we cannot predict, including with respect to technologies such as cloud computing, AI (including generative AI), cryptocurrency, and blockchain technology. Any failure or alleged failure by us to comply with our privacy policies as communicated to customers or with applicable privacy and data protection laws relating to our collection, use, storage, transfer, or sharing of customer data with third parties could result in proceedings or actions against us by data protection authorities, other government agencies, our customers or others, which could subject us to significant fines, penalties, judgments, and negative publicity, require us to change our business practices, increase the costs and complexity of compliance, damage our reputation, and materially harm our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Geopolitical uncertainty

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Cross-border trade has been and may be negatively impacted by various factors including foreign exchange rate fluctuations; changes in or new tariffs, trade disputes, barriers or restrictions threats of such actions, and the related uncertainty thereof; sanctions; import or export controls; and the interpretation and application of laws of multiple jurisdictions in the context of cross-border trade and foreign exchange.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Use of our payments services for illegal activities or improper purposes could harm our business. We expect that users will continue to attempt to use our platform for illegal activities or improper uses, including money laundering, terrorist financing, sanctions evasion, illegal gambling or gaming, fraudulent sales of goods or services, illegal telemarketing activities, illegal sales of prescription medications or controlled substances, piracy of software, movies, music, and other copyrighted, trademarked or digital goods, bank fraud, child pornography, human trafficking, prohibited sales of alcoholic beverages or tobacco products, securities fraud, pyramid or Ponzi schemes, or the facilitation of other illegal or improper activity.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Defence budgets, strengthens Energy security, strengthens Tariffs and trade policy, weakens Global trade volumes, strengthens Sea freight and freight rates, weakens Reconstruction of Ukraine

Climate change and extreme weather

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Business interruptions or systems failures may impair the availability of our websites, applications, products or services, or otherwise harm our business. Our systems and operations and those of our service providers and partners have experienced from time to time, and may experience in the future, business interruptions or degradation of service because of distributed denial-of-service and other cyberattacks, insider threats, hardware and software defects or malfunctions, human error, earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, fires, and other natural disasters, public health crises (including pandemics), power losses, disruptions in telecommunications services, fraud, military or political conflicts, terrorist attacks, computer viruses or other malware, or other events. The frequency and intensity of weather events related to climate change are increasing, which could increase the likelihood and severity of such disasters as well as related damage and business interruption.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Agriculture and food production

Employment

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The non-payment rate among account holders may increase due to, among other factors, changes to underwriting standards, risk models not accurately predicting the creditworthiness of a user, worsening economic conditions, such as recessions, economic downturns or government austerity programs, increases in prevailing interest rates, and high unemployment rates.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Pandemics and outbreaks

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Business interruptions or systems failures may impair the availability of our websites, applications, products or services, or otherwise harm our business. Our systems and operations and those of our service providers and partners have experienced from time to time, and may experience in the future, business interruptions or degradation of service because of distributed denial-of-service and other cyberattacks, insider threats, hardware and software defects or malfunctions, human error, earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, fires, and other natural disasters, public health crises (including pandemics), power losses, disruptions in telecommunications services, fraud, military or political conflicts, terrorist attacks, computer viruses or other malware, or other events. The frequency and intensity of weather events related to climate change are increasing, which could increase the likelihood and severity of such disasters as well as related damage and business interruption.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Aviation and travel, strengthens Vaccines (travel health and preparedness)

United States

Geography

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Various laws and regulations govern the payments industry in the U.S. and internationally. In the U.S., PayPal, Inc. (a wholly-owned subsidiary) holds licenses to operate as a money transmitter (or its equivalent) in the states where such licenses are required, as well as in the District of Columbia and certain territories.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: USD vs DKK/EUR mixed effect

Europe

Geography

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Outside the U.S., we provide similar services customized for various countries and foreign jurisdictions through our foreign subsidiaries. The activities of those non-U.S. entities are, or may be, supervised by a financial regulatory authority in the jurisdictions in which they operate.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Geography

“We serve our customers in the EU through PayPal (Europe) S.à.r.l. et Cie, S.C.A. (“PayPal (Europe)”), a wholly-owned subsidiary that is licensed and subject to regulation as a credit institution in Luxembourg by the CSSF.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Geography

“We serve our customers in the U.K. through PayPal U.K. Limited (“PayPal U.K.”), a wholly-owned subsidiary that is subject to regulation as an electronic money institution in the U.K. by the FCA.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

IT operations and cloud

Raw materials and inputs

InputNegative impact: weakens

“The technology infrastructure supporting our payments platform is designed to simplify the storage and processing of large amounts of data and facilitate the deployment and operation of large-scale global products and services whether hosted by third-party cloud service providers or our own data centers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We continue to make multi-year investments in our technology infrastructure, including those associated with cloud-related initiatives, intended to support the scalability, resiliency, and efficiency of our payments platform.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We rely on third parties in many aspects of our business, including, but not limited to, networks, banks, payment processors, and payment gateways that link us to the payment card and bank clearing networks to process transactions; unaffiliated third-party lenders to originate U.S. credit products to consumers, U.S. merchant financing, and branded credit card products; branded debit card and savings products issued by unaffiliated banks; cryptocurrency custodial service providers; and external business partners and contractors who provide key functions (including, but not limited to, data center facilities and cloud computing, IT, and outsourced customer support, accounting, human resources, and product development functions).”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Data centres

Technology

InputNegative impact: weakens

“The technology infrastructure supporting our payments platform is designed to simplify the storage and processing of large amounts of data and facilitate the deployment and operation of large-scale global products and services whether hosted by third-party cloud service providers or our own data centers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“We continue to make multi-year investments in our technology infrastructure, including those associated with cloud-related initiatives, intended to support the scalability, resiliency, and efficiency of our payments platform.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Artificial intelligence strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Electricity, strengthens Copper

AI regulation

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We use AI and machine learning technologies in various aspects of our business, including fraud prevention, risk management, product optimization and customer service. Governments and regulators globally are increasingly focused on the oversight of AI technologies and have proposed or enacted laws aimed at ensuring transparency, fairness, and accountability.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

EU climate and energy policy

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“PayPal’s consumer short-term, interest-free, installment products in the U.K., France, Germany, Spain, and Italy are currently generally exempt from primary consumer credit legislation but certain consumer lending, consumer protection, and banking transparency regulations apply to this activity. This will change in the E.U. markets with the implementation of the revised Consumer Credit Directive which will take effect in November 2026 and result in formerly “unregulated” credit products being generally (and subject to the principle of proportionality in particular regarding underwriting obligations) subject to the same laws as fully regulated credit.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Circular economy and recycling, strengthens Energy efficiency

Media and entertainment

End markets

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“If our reputation or our brands are damaged, our business and operating results may be harmed. Our reputation and brands are globally recognized, important to our business, and affect our ability to attract and retain our customers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Competitors mentioned in the report

No named competitors in the report.

Financial figures

Revenue
latest fiscal year
33.17 bn USD
Revenue growth
vs. the year before, same method
4.3 %
EBITDA
reported by the company
7.03 bn USD
Net debt
debt incl. leasing minus cash
N/A
Diluted EPS
per share
5.41 USD

Source: 10-K (SEC) A. See the report

Criteria

Profit✓
Growing✓
Healthy balance sheetN/A

Only the criteria that can be computed from financial statements on this page. The remaining criteria (such as price and dividend) need a share price and are in the analysis.

Figures are in the report's currency (USD), not converted to DKK. Quotes are shown as the company's own words in English.

This page describes what the company itself writes. It isn't an assessment and isn't a recommendation. Run an analysis to see how the company connects to your view.