Phillips 66
Sector unknown·PSX · USA (SEC 10-K)·Fiscal year to 31/12/2025
Operating Segments Our businesses are organized into five operating segments: 1)Midstream—Provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services in the United States.
Exposure profile
Derived from what the company itself writes. Empty directions mean the report doesn't mention themes of that type.
In their own words
Grouped by theme, from the management review in the annual report. A · The company itself is a verbatim quote, B · From the report is without a verified quote.
Natural gas
Raw materials and inputs
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“Our revenues and cash flows can also increase or decrease as the price of natural gas and NGL fluctuates because of certain contractual arrangements whereby natural gas is purchased for an agreed percentage of proceeds from the sale of the residue gas and/or NGL resulting from processing activities.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“In order to maintain or increase throughput levels on our natural gas gathering and transportation pipeline systems and NGL pipelines and the asset utilization rates at our natural gas processing plants, we must continually obtain new supplies. The level of successful drilling activity and prices of, and demand for, natural gas and crude oil, as well as producers’ desire and ability to obtain necessary permits are some of the factors that may affect new supplies of natural gas and NGLs.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“If legislative and regulatory initiatives cause a material decrease in the drilling of new wells and related servicing activities, it may reduce crude oil, natural gas and NGL supplies, negatively affecting the volume of products available to our Midstream segment and increasing feedstock prices for our Chemicals and Refining segments, resulting in a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK Financial Instrument Market Risk We and certain of our subsidiaries are exposed to market risks produced by changes in the prices of crude oil, refined petroleum products, NGL, natural gas, renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels, and electric power, as well as fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“•The level and success of producers’ drilling plans and the amount and quality of production volumes around our midstream assets. •Our ability to timely obtain or maintain permits, including those necessary for capital projects. •Our ability to comply with government regulations or make capital expenditures required to maintain compliance. •Our ability to realize sustained savings and cost reductions from the company’s business transformation initiatives. •Changes to government policies relating to renewable fuels, climate change and GHG emissions that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuel standards program, low carbon fuel standards and tax credits for biofuels. •Domestic and international economic and political developments including armed hostilities, such as the war in Eastern Europe, instability in the financial services and banking sector, excess inflation, expropriation of assets and changes in fiscal policy, including interest rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Similar to other companies in the industries in which we operate, our financial results are largely affected by the relationship, or margin, between the prices at which we sell refined petroleum, petrochemical, plastics and renewable fuels products and the prices for crude oil, natural gas, NGL, renewable feedstocks and other feedstocks used in manufacturing these products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Lower commodity prices also affect our Chemicals segment, which uses feedstocks that are derivatively produced in the processing of natural gas and refining of crude oil. Those feedstock prices can fluctuate widely for a variety of reasons, including changes in worldwide energy prices and the supply and availability of feedstocks.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“Operating Segments Our businesses are organized into five operating segments: 1)Midstream—Provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services in the United States.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Circular economy and recycling
Regulation
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Additionally, our Renewable Fuels segment is affected by prices and demand for renewable feedstocks. Sustained periods of low prices for renewable fuels or renewable feedstocks due to decreases in demand or production of renewable fuels products could have a material adverse effect on the results of operations of our Renewable Fuels segment.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“For example, our Renewable Fuels segment processes renewable feedstocks such as used cooking oil, vegetable oils, and other low-carbon intensity waste oils and byproducts to produce renewable fuels. If certain types of renewable feedstocks are excluded from generating credits, our financial condition and results of operations may be impacted.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Our basis for approving large-scale capital-intensive projects, such as the recent conversion of our San Francisco Refinery into the Rodeo Complex, is the expectation that it will deliver an acceptable rate of return on capital employed. We base these forecasted project economics on our best estimate of future market conditions including the regulatory and operating environment.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“A portion of our growth strategy is dependent on our and our joint ventures’ ability to capture growth opportunities in the Midstream, Renewable Fuels and Chemicals segments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Our Energy Research & Innovation organization works to develop new technologies and solutions focused on advancing our business units, including renewable fuels research. Our efforts to research and develop new technologies are subject to a multitude of factors and conditions, many of which are out of our control.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“5)Renewable Fuels—Processes renewable feedstocks into renewable products at the Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex (Rodeo Complex) and at our Humber Refinery. In addition, this segment includes the global activities to procure renewable feedstocks, manage certain regulatory credits, and market renewable fuels.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: EU climate and energy policy strengthens
Electrification
Technology
StrategyPositive impact: strengthens
“Part of our strategy includes capturing growth opportunities in our businesses to further advance our participation in the energy transition and meet our greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensity reduction targets. This strategy depends, in part, on our ability to successfully identify and evaluate acquisition and investment opportunities and develop and commercialize new technologies.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“5)Renewable Fuels—Processes renewable feedstocks into renewable products at the Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex (Rodeo Complex) and at our Humber Refinery. In addition, this segment includes the global activities to procure renewable feedstocks, manage certain regulatory credits, and market renewable fuels.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Electricity, strengthens Power grid expansion, strengthens Copper
Plastics and polymers
Raw materials and inputs
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Due to the highly competitive nature of most of the products sold by our Chemicals segment, market position cannot necessarily be protected by product differentiation or by passing on cost increases to customers. As a result, price increases in raw materials may not correlate with changes in the prices at which petrochemical and plastics products are sold, thereby negatively affecting margins and the results of operations of our Chemicals segment.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Market
“2)Chemicals—Consists of our 50% equity investment in Chevron Phillips Chemical Company LLC (CPChem), which manufactures and markets petrochemicals and plastics on a worldwide basis.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Oil strengthens
United States
Geography
Market
“QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK Financial Instrument Market Risk We and certain of our subsidiaries are exposed to market risks produced by changes in the prices of crude oil, refined petroleum products, NGL, natural gas, renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels, and electric power, as well as fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Geography
“At December 31, 2025, this segment included 10 refineries in the United States and Europe.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: USD vs DKK/EUR mixed effect
Fuel
Raw materials and inputs
Market
“3)Refining—Refines crude oil and other feedstocks into petroleum products, such as gasoline and distillates, including aviation fuels.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics, strengthens Aviation and travel
Retail
End markets
Market
“4)Marketing and Specialties (M&S)—Purchases for resale and markets refined products, mainly in the United States and Europe. In addition, this segment includes the manufacturing and marketing of base oils and lubricants.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Consumer spending strengthens
Shipping and logistics
End markets
Market
“Operating Segments Our businesses are organized into five operating segments: 1)Midstream—Provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and marketing services in the United States.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Carbon tax and ETS prices weakens, Global trade volumes strengthens, Fuel strengthens
Utilities
End markets
Market
“In addition, this segment exports liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) to global markets.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Oil
Raw materials and inputs
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition, sustained periods of low commodity prices can result in upstream producers significantly curtailing their oil and gas drilling operations, which could substantially delay the production and delivery of volumes of crude oil, natural gas and NGL and negatively impact the results of our Midstream, Refining, and M&S segments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“If legislative and regulatory initiatives cause a material decrease in the drilling of new wells and related servicing activities, it may reduce crude oil, natural gas and NGL supplies, negatively affecting the volume of products available to our Midstream segment and increasing feedstock prices for our Chemicals and Refining segments, resulting in a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations and cash flows.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“There have been efforts in recent years aimed at the investment community, including investment advisors, sovereign wealth funds, public pension funds, universities, and other groups, to promote the divestment of fossil fuel companies, as well as to pressure lenders, insurers, and other financial services companies to limit or curtail activities with fossil fuel companies. If these or similar efforts are continued, the market price of our securities, our ability to access capital markets or insure our operations, and our cost of capital may be negatively impacted.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK Financial Instrument Market Risk We and certain of our subsidiaries are exposed to market risks produced by changes in the prices of crude oil, refined petroleum products, NGL, natural gas, renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels, and electric power, as well as fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“•The level and success of producers’ drilling plans and the amount and quality of production volumes around our midstream assets. •Our ability to timely obtain or maintain permits, including those necessary for capital projects. •Our ability to comply with government regulations or make capital expenditures required to maintain compliance. •Our ability to realize sustained savings and cost reductions from the company’s business transformation initiatives. •Changes to government policies relating to renewable fuels, climate change and GHG emissions that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuel standards program, low carbon fuel standards and tax credits for biofuels. •Domestic and international economic and political developments including armed hostilities, such as the war in Eastern Europe, instability in the financial services and banking sector, excess inflation, expropriation of assets and changes in fiscal policy, including interest rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Similar to other companies in the industries in which we operate, our financial results are largely affected by the relationship, or margin, between the prices at which we sell refined petroleum, petrochemical, plastics and renewable fuels products and the prices for crude oil, natural gas, NGL, renewable feedstocks and other feedstocks used in manufacturing these products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“The prices at which we buy our feedstocks are dependent on market conditions that are beyond our control, and changes in supply and demand for the feedstocks we process directly impact the results of our business. We do not produce crude oil and other feedstocks and must purchase all of the feedstocks we process.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Lower commodity prices also affect our Chemicals segment, which uses feedstocks that are derivatively produced in the processing of natural gas and refining of crude oil. Those feedstock prices can fluctuate widely for a variety of reasons, including changes in worldwide energy prices and the supply and availability of feedstocks.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Plastics and polymers
Geopolitical uncertainty
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The price at which we purchase crude oil, natural gas, NGLs and renewable feedstocks and the prices at which we can ultimately sell our refined products depend upon factors beyond our control, including, but not limited to: •global and local demand; •production levels of feedstocks; •production levels of refined products by competitors; •import and export capabilities; •seasonality and weather conditions; •transportation availability and cost; •changes in energy prices; •economic, political and regulatory conditions domestically and internationally, including imposition of tariffs or other tax incentives or disincentives; •the impacts of the members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC member producing nations that may agree to set production levels; •geopolitical risks, such as the ongoing global impact of conflicts in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and South America; •technological advances affecting energy consumption and supply; and •consumer preferences and the use and availability of substitute products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The ability of the members of OPEC to agree on and to set crude oil price and production controls and changes in trade flows from events such as the conflicts in Eastern Europe and South America have also had, and are likely to continue to have, a significant impact on the market prices of crude oil and certain of our products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition to our own operational risks, we could experience interruptions of supply or increases in costs to deliver our products to market if the ability to transport is disrupted because of weather events, natural disasters, accidents, governmental regulations, public health crises, armed hostilities, or third-party actions, including protests.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Actions of federal, state, local and international governments through legislation or regulation, executive order, permit or other review of infrastructure or facility development, and commercial restrictions could delay projects, increase costs, limit development, or otherwise reduce our profitability both in the United States and abroad. Any such actions may affect many aspects of our operations, including: •Establishing maximum margins that can be earned on sales of motor fuels or imposing financial penalties on profits earned above established maximum margins. •Limiting or prohibiting our ability to undertake turnaround or maintenance activities, or to cease operations at our refineries. •Requiring permits or other approvals that may impose unforeseen or unduly burdensome conditions or potentially cause delays in our operations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Hostilities in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and South America or elsewhere or the occurrence or threat of future terrorist attacks could adversely affect the economies of the United States and other countries. Other political and economic risks include global health crises; financial market turmoil; economic volatility and global economic slowdown; currency exchange rate fluctuations; short-term and long-term inflationary pressures; rising or prolonged periods of high interest rates; import or export restrictions and changes in trade regulations; supply chain disruptions; civil unrest and other political risks; limitations in the availability of labor to develop, staff and manage operations; and potentially adverse tax developments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Our business could be negatively impacted as a result of shareholder activism. Publicly traded companies are increasingly subject to campaigns by activist shareholders advocating corporate actions such as operational, governance or management changes, or sales of assets or entire segments. The Company has been and may again be subject to shareholder activism and the corporate actions advocated by the shareholder activist that may not align with the Company’s current business strategies and the best interests of all of the Company’s stakeholders.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Defence budgets, strengthens Energy security, strengthens Tariffs and trade policy, weakens Global trade volumes, strengthens Sea freight and freight rates, weakens Reconstruction of Ukraine
Climate change and extreme weather
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“In addition to our own operational risks, we could experience interruptions of supply or increases in costs to deliver our products to market if the ability to transport is disrupted because of weather events, natural disasters, accidents, governmental regulations, public health crises, armed hostilities, or third-party actions, including protests.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“We operate facilities located in coastal regions of the United States, which have been impacted by hurricanes that have required us to temporarily, or even permanently, shut down operations at those sites. CPChem also operates facilities on the Gulf Coast and has had to temporarily shut down sites in the past as a result of hurricanes. Any extreme weather events or rising sea levels may disrupt the ability to operate our facilities located near coastal areas or to transport crude oil, refined petroleum or petrochemical and plastics products in these areas. Extended periods of such disruption could have an adverse effect on our results of operations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Agriculture and food production
EU climate and energy policy
Regulation
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“Changes to government policies relating to renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuels standards program, low-carbon fuels standards and tax credits for processing certain renewable feedstocks impact our financial condition and results of operations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Changes to laws, regulations, policies or standards regarding renewable fuels or the feedstocks used to produce our renewable fuels, elimination or 22 reduction of incentives, as well as the cost of conforming with such updated laws, regulations, policies or standards could negatively impact the results of operations of our Renewable Fuels segment.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Circular economy and recycling, strengthens Energy efficiency
Renewables auctions and subsidies
Regulation
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“Changes to government policies relating to renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels that adversely affect programs like the renewable fuels standards program, low-carbon fuels standards and tax credits for processing certain renewable feedstocks impact our financial condition and results of operations.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Additionally, renewable fuels, alternative energy mandates and energy conservation efforts could reduce demand for refined petroleum products. Tax incentives and other subsidies can make renewable fuels and alternative energy more competitive with refined petroleum products than they otherwise might be, which may reduce refined petroleum product margins and hinder the ability of refined petroleum products to compete with renewable fuels.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Wind power strengthens
Business cycle and GDP growth
Macro
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“The price at which we purchase crude oil, natural gas, NGLs and renewable feedstocks and the prices at which we can ultimately sell our refined products depend upon factors beyond our control, including, but not limited to: •global and local demand; •production levels of feedstocks; •production levels of refined products by competitors; •import and export capabilities; •seasonality and weather conditions; •transportation availability and cost; •changes in energy prices; •economic, political and regulatory conditions domestically and internationally, including imposition of tariffs or other tax incentives or disincentives; •the impacts of the members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC member producing nations that may agree to set production levels; •geopolitical risks, such as the ongoing global impact of conflicts in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and South America; •technological advances affecting energy consumption and supply; and •consumer preferences and the use and availability of substitute products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Global trade volumes, strengthens Construction
Electricity
Raw materials and inputs
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK Financial Instrument Market Risk We and certain of our subsidiaries are exposed to market risks produced by changes in the prices of crude oil, refined petroleum products, NGL, natural gas, renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels, and electric power, as well as fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Data centres strengthens, Electrification strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Power grid expansion
Global trade volumes
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The price at which we purchase crude oil, natural gas, NGLs and renewable feedstocks and the prices at which we can ultimately sell our refined products depend upon factors beyond our control, including, but not limited to: •global and local demand; •production levels of feedstocks; •production levels of refined products by competitors; •import and export capabilities; •seasonality and weather conditions; •transportation availability and cost; •changes in energy prices; •economic, political and regulatory conditions domestically and internationally, including imposition of tariffs or other tax incentives or disincentives; •the impacts of the members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC member producing nations that may agree to set production levels; •geopolitical risks, such as the ongoing global impact of conflicts in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and South America; •technological advances affecting energy consumption and supply; and •consumer preferences and the use and availability of substitute products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Tariffs and trade policy weakens, Geopolitical uncertainty weakens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics
Tariffs and trade policy
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The price at which we purchase crude oil, natural gas, NGLs and renewable feedstocks and the prices at which we can ultimately sell our refined products depend upon factors beyond our control, including, but not limited to: •global and local demand; •production levels of feedstocks; •production levels of refined products by competitors; •import and export capabilities; •seasonality and weather conditions; •transportation availability and cost; •changes in energy prices; •economic, political and regulatory conditions domestically and internationally, including imposition of tariffs or other tax incentives or disincentives; •the impacts of the members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and non-OPEC member producing nations that may agree to set production levels; •geopolitical risks, such as the ongoing global impact of conflicts in the Middle East, Eastern Europe and South America; •technological advances affecting energy consumption and supply; and •consumer preferences and the use and availability of substitute products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Increased regulation of the fossil fuel industry, particularly with respect to hydraulic fracturing, could result in reductions or delays in the production of crude oil and natural gas, which could adversely impact our results of operations. Most of the crude oil and natural gas production of our Midstream segment’s customers is being produced from unconventional oil shale reservoirs. These reservoirs require hydraulic fracturing completion processes to release the hydrocarbons from the rock so they can flow through casing to the surface.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“•Changes in governmental policies relating to NGL, crude oil, natural gas, refined petroleum or renewable fuels products pricing, regulation or taxation, including exports. •Capacity constraints in, or other limitations on, the pipelines, storage and fractionation facilities to which we deliver natural gas or NGL and the availability of alternative markets and arrangements for our natural gas and NGL. •Actions taken by OPEC and non-OPEC oil producing countries impacting crude oil production and correspondingly, commodity prices. •Unexpected changes in costs or technical requirements for constructing, modifying or operating our facilities or transporting our products. •Unexpected technological or commercial difficulties in manufacturing, refining or transporting our products, including chemical products. •Changes in the cost or availability of adequate and reliable transportation for our NGL, crude oil, natural gas and refined petroleum and renewable fuels products.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Geopolitical uncertainty strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Global trade volumes
Consumer spending
Macro
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“For example, the volume of crude oil and refined petroleum products transported or stored in our pipelines and terminal facilities depends on the demand for and availability of crude oil and refined petroleum products in the areas serviced by our assets. Likewise, our earnings and cash flows would be negatively impacted by a period of sustained lower demand for refined petroleum products, which could lead to lower refinery utilization and result in a decrease in the volumes of refined petroleum product transported through our pipelines and terminal facilities.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverPositive impact: strengthens
“Volatility in market demand for our petrochemical and plastics products and midstream transportation services and the risk of overbuild in these industries may negatively impact the results of operations of our businesses. We and our affiliates have made and continue to make significant investments to meet market demand for our products and services, such as investments in midstream infrastructure and construction of new petrochemicals facilities.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Inflation weakens
Chains out: this strengthens Retail, strengthens Hospitality and leisure, strengthens Premium consumers, strengthens Grocery retail and private label
Cybersecurity (products and services)
Technology
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Although we devote significant resources to prevent cybersecurity incidents and protect our system and data, we have experienced actual and attempted cybersecurity incidents. While we do not believe that any of these incidents has had a material effect on our business, operations or financial condition, it is possible that a future incident may have such an effect.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The regulatory landscape governing cybersecurity continues to evolve, and federal, state and international authorities are increasing their oversight of cybersecurity practices, incident reporting and the protection of critical energy infrastructure. Requirements related to operational technology, supply chain security, data governance and timely disclosure of cyber incidents are becoming more prescriptive, and additional rulemaking may further expand our compliance obligations. As cyber threats targeting the energy sector grow in frequency and sophistication, we are required to devote additional resources to maintain and enhance our cybersecurity programs and controls.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Cyber attacks and IT security risk strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Digitalisation
Pandemics and outbreaks
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Our global operations expose us to risks associated with public health crises and outbreaks of epidemics, pandemics, or contagious diseases. Even if a virus or other illness does not spread significantly, the perceived risk of infection or health risk may result in reduced demand for our products and materially affect our business.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“•The impact on commercial activity and demand for our products from any widespread public health crisis, as well as the extent and duration of recovery of economies and demand for our products following any such crisis. •Failure to complete definitive agreements and feasibility studies for, and to complete construction of, announced and future capital projects on time and within budget. •Our ability to successfully complete, or any material delay in the completion of, any asset dispositions, acquisitions, shutdowns or conversions that we may pursue, including the receipt of any necessary regulatory approvals or permits related to such action. •Potential disruption or interruption of our operations or those of our joint ventures due to litigation or governmental or regulatory action. •Damage to our facilities due to accidents, weather and climate events, civil unrest, insurrections, political events, terrorism or cyberattacks.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Aviation and travel, strengthens Vaccines (travel health and preparedness)
USD vs DKK/EUR
Macro
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“Other political and economic risks include global health crises; financial market turmoil; economic volatility and global economic slowdown; currency exchange rate fluctuations; short-term and long-term inflationary pressures; rising or prolonged periods of high interest rates; import or export restrictions and changes in trade regulations; supply chain disruptions; civil unrest and other political risks; limitations in the availability of labor to develop, staff and manage operations; and potentially adverse tax developments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK Financial Instrument Market Risk We and certain of our subsidiaries are exposed to market risks produced by changes in the prices of crude oil, refined petroleum products, NGL, natural gas, renewable feedstocks and renewable fuels, and electric power, as well as fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this mixed effect United States
Carbon tax and ETS prices
Regulation
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“•Our sustainability goals, including reducing our GHG emissions intensity, developing and protecting new technologies, and commercializing lower-carbon opportunities. •Failure of new products and services to achieve market acceptance. •International monetary conditions and exchange controls. •Substantial investments required, or reduced demand for products, as a result of existing or future environmental rules and regulations, including GHG emissions reductions and reduced consumer demand for refined petroleum products. •Liability resulting from pending or future litigation or other legal proceedings. •Liability for remedial actions, including removal and reclamation obligations under environmental regulations. •Changes in tax, environmental and other laws and regulations (including alternative energy mandates) applicable to our business. •Economic, political and regulatory conditions domestically and internationally, including imposition of tariffs or other tax incentives or disincentives.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Shipping and logistics, strengthens Energy efficiency, weakens Cement and building materials
Equity and capital markets
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Negative sentiment towards fossil fuels, increased attention to E&S matters, including climate change, and our efforts to report on these matters could adversely affect our business, the market price for our securities and our access to and cost of capital.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Inflation
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Other political and economic risks include global health crises; financial market turmoil; economic volatility and global economic slowdown; currency exchange rate fluctuations; short-term and long-term inflationary pressures; rising or prolonged periods of high interest rates; import or export restrictions and changes in trade regulations; supply chain disruptions; civil unrest and other political risks; limitations in the availability of labor to develop, staff and manage operations; and potentially adverse tax developments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this weakens Consumer spending, strengthens Interest rates
Interest rates
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“Other political and economic risks include global health crises; financial market turmoil; economic volatility and global economic slowdown; currency exchange rate fluctuations; short-term and long-term inflationary pressures; rising or prolonged periods of high interest rates; import or export restrictions and changes in trade regulations; supply chain disruptions; civil unrest and other political risks; limitations in the availability of labor to develop, staff and manage operations; and potentially adverse tax developments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains in: Public debt and fiscal policy strengthens, Inflation strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Construction, weakens Real estate, weakens Wind power, weakens Housing market, weakens Office and commercial property, weakens Residential rental, weakens Residential construction
M&A and consolidation
Macro
DriverNegative impact: weakens
“The success of these investments largely depends on the realization of anticipated market demand, and these projects typically require significant development periods, during which time demand for our products or services may change, or additional investments by competitors may be made that could result in an overbuild of supply. Any of these or other competitive forces could materially adversely affect our results of operations, financial position or cash flows, as well as our return on capital employed.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Subcontractors and haulage capacity
Raw materials and inputs
InputNegative impact: weakens
“We often utilize the services of third parties to transport crude oil or other feedstocks, NGL, refined petroleum and renewable fuels products to and from our facilities. In addition to our own operational risks, we could experience interruptions of supply or increases in costs to deliver our products to market if the ability to transport is disrupted because of weather events, natural disasters, accidents, governmental regulations, public health crises, armed hostilities, or third-party actions, including protests.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Artificial intelligence
Technology
DriverMixed impact: mixed
“Our Energy Research & Innovation organization works to develop new technologies and solutions focused on advancing our business units, including renewable fuels research. Our efforts to research and develop new technologies are subject to a multitude of factors and conditions, many of which are out of our control.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Chains out: this strengthens Data centres, strengthens Semiconductors and electronic components, strengthens Semiconductor industry
Europe
Geography
Geography
“At December 31, 2025, this segment included 10 refineries in the United States and Europe.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Labour and wages
Raw materials and inputs
InputNegative impact: weakens
“Other political and economic risks include global health crises; financial market turmoil; economic volatility and global economic slowdown; currency exchange rate fluctuations; short-term and long-term inflationary pressures; rising or prolonged periods of high interest rates; import or export restrictions and changes in trade regulations; supply chain disruptions; civil unrest and other political risks; limitations in the availability of labor to develop, staff and manage operations; and potentially adverse tax developments.”
Annual report 2025A · The company itself
Competitors mentioned in the report
No named competitors in the report.
Financial figures
| Revenue latest fiscal year | 132.38 bn USD |
| Revenue growth vs. the year before, same method | -7.5 % |
| EBITDA reported by the company | N/A |
| Net debt debt incl. leasing minus cash | 19.43 bn USD |
| Diluted EPS per share | 10.79 USD |
Source: 10-K (SEC) A. See the report
Criteria
| Profit | ✓ |
| Growing | ✗ |
| Healthy balance sheet | N/A |
Only the criteria that can be computed from financial statements on this page. The remaining criteria (such as price and dividend) need a share price and are in the analysis.
Figures are in the report's currency (USD), not converted to DKK. Quotes are shown as the company's own words in English.