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Waste Management

Sector unknown·WM · USA (SEC 10-K)·Fiscal year to 31/12/2025

Automation and roboticsDigitalisationLabour and wagesChemicals and specialty chemicalsBusiness cycle and GDP growth

Overview We are North America’s leading provider of comprehensive environmental solutions, primarily providing services throughout the United States (“U.S.”) and Canada. We partner with our customers and the communities we serve to manage and reduce waste at each stage from collection to disposal, while recovering valuable resources and creating clean, renewable energy. We own or operate the largest network of landfills throughout the U.S. and Canada.

Exposure profile

Raw materials and inputsMacroTechnologyRegulationEnd marketsGeography
Raw materials and inputs Labour and wages, Chemicals and specialty chemicals, IT operations and cloud, Fuel
Macro Business cycle and GDP growth, Inflation, Tariffs and trade policy, Consumer spending
Technology Automation and robotics, Digitalisation, Artificial intelligence, Wind power
Regulation Packaging regulation and deposit schemes, Renewables auctions and subsidies, ESG and sustainability reporting, Financial regulation
End markets Healthcare and hospitals, Consumer preference shifts, Construction
Geography Ageing population

Derived from what the company itself writes. Empty directions mean the report doesn't mention themes of that type.

In their own words

Grouped by theme, from the management review in the annual report. A · The company itself is a verbatim quote, B · From the report is without a verified quote.

Inflation

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Inflation can and has increased costs for the goods and services we purchase, particularly for labor, repair and maintenance, and subcontractor costs. Aspects of our business rely on third-party transportation providers, and such services have become more limited and expensive.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“A significant portion of our revenue is tied to a price escalation index with a lookback provision, resulting in a timing lag in our ability to recover increased costs under those contracts during periods of rapid inflation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Many of our contracts have price adjustment provisions that are tied to an index such as the Consumer Price Index. Our costs may increase more than the increase, if any, in the Consumer Price Index, partially due to our relatively high fixed-cost structure. We may not be able to dynamically manage our cost structure in response to shifting volume levels and vendor costs, and our cost structure may not correlate with the Consumer Price Index or the waste industry.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Significant components of our operating expenses vary directly as we experience changes in revenue due to volume and inflation. Volume changes can fluctuate significantly by line of business and volume changes in higher margin businesses can impact key financial metrics.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Variability in economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates, employment trends and supply chain reliability, can create risk and uncertainty in financial outlook.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“As a % of ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Related ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Amount ​ ​ ​ ​ ​ Business Commercial ​ ​ $ 290 ​ 5.1 % Industrial ​ ​ 99 ​ 2.8 ​ Residential ​ ​ 181 ​ 5.4 ​ Total collection ​ ​ 570 ​ 4.3 ​ Landfill ​ ​ 84 ​ 2.6 ​ Transfer Our overall pricing efforts are focused on keeping pace with the increasing costs and capital intensity of our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Transfer and Disposal Costs — The increase in transfer and disposal costs was primarily due to our recent acquisitions and inflationary cost pressures, which includes increased disposal fees at third-party sites and higher rates from our third-party haulers. These increases were offset, in part, by lower residential volumes attributable to intentional shedding of lower margin contracts.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Maintenance and Repairs — The increase in maintenance and repairs costs was primarily due to (i) additional costs incurred as part of our recent acquisitions; (ii) inflation in parts, supplies and third-party services; (iii) annual wage 51 Table of Contents increases and (iv) higher technician headcount.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We take proactive steps to recover and mitigate inflationary cost pressures through our overall pricing efforts and by managing our costs through efficiency, labor productivity and investments in technology to automate certain aspects of our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Consumer spending, strengthens Interest rates

Labour and wages

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“As an employer of over 60,000 individuals throughout the U.S. and Canada, as well as Western Europe and India, we are subject to numerous employment related regulations, including federal and state wage and hour laws and rapidly changing laws related to employment eligibility.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Increases in our labor costs as a result of unions organizing, Multiemployer Pension Plan withdrawals, changes in regulations related to labor unions or increases in minimum wages, could adversely affect our future results. Labor unions continually attempt to organize our employees, and these efforts will likely continue in the future.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Additionally, a large portion of our workforce are hourly personnel, and many of these individuals, particularly in our recycling business, are paid at rates related to federal and state minimum wages. Increases in minimum wage rates, or the enactment of new wage-related legislation, may significantly increase our labor costs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Our operations require us to attract, hire, develop and retain a high-quality workforce; this includes key individuals in leadership and specialty roles, as well as a very large number of skilled drivers, technicians and other front-line and back-office team members necessary to provide our environmental services. We experience significant competition to hire and retain certain front-line positions, such as commercial truck drivers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Significant items affecting the comparison of operating expenses between reported periods include: Labor and Related Benefits — The increase in labor and related benefits costs was driven by the addition of employees as a result of our recent acquisitions and annual employee wage increases.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Maintenance and Repairs — The increase in maintenance and repairs costs was primarily due to (i) additional costs incurred as part of our recent acquisitions; (ii) inflation in parts, supplies and third-party services; (iii) annual wage 51 Table of Contents increases and (iv) higher technician headcount.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Subcontractor Costs — The increase in subcontractor costs was primarily due to additional costs incurred as a part of our recent acquisitions and inflationary cost pressures, particularly labor costs from third-party haulers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We continue to invest in our people through paying a competitive market wage, investing in our digital platform and providing training for our team members. We remain committed to our investment in recycling automation, which reduces costs and increases throughput, positioning us to overcome commodity price headwinds and deliver a differentiated service.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Consumer spending

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Our business is directly affected by changes in consumer trends and economic factors that are outside of our control, including consumer preferences and priorities, consumer confidence, inflation, interest rates and access to capital markets. A weak economy generally results in decreased consumer spending and decreases in volumes of waste generated, which negatively impacts the ability to grow through new business or service upgrades, and may result in customer turnover and reduction in customers’ waste service needs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our industry is directly affected by changes in general economic factors, including increases and decreases in consumer spending, business expansions and construction activity. These factors generally correlate to volumes of waste generated and impact our revenue.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“There are risks involved in pursuing our strategy, including the following: ● Our employees, customers or investors may not embrace and support our strategy. ● A key element of our strategy is yield management through focus on price leadership, which has presented challenges to keep existing business and win new business at reasonable returns.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Inflation weakens
Chains out: this strengthens Retail, strengthens Hospitality and leisure, strengthens Premium consumers, strengthens Grocery retail and private label

Packaging regulation and deposit schemes

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Our operations must comply with extensive existing regulations, and changes in regulations, including with respect to emerging contaminants and extended producer responsibility, can restrict or alter our operations, increase our operating costs, increase our tax liabilities, reduce revenues, or require us to make additional capital expenditures.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Regulations establishing extended producer responsibility (“EPR”) are being considered or implemented in many places around the world, including in certain states in the U.S. and provinces and territories in Canada. EPR regulations are designed to place either partial or total responsibility on producers of consumer-packaged goods and other products to fund the post-use life cycle of the products and packaging they create.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“These bans have increased pressure by manufacturers on our recycling facilities to accept a broader array of materials in curbside recycling and composting programs to alleviate public pressures to ban the sale of those materials.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Natural gas

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The fees we charge for our services generally include applicable fees, such as our energy surcharge, which are intended to pass through to customers for direct and indirect costs incurred.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“While the combined impacts of commodity price fluctuations from the prior year had a modestly favorable impact on the Renewable Energy segment, we may experience more significant impacts from fluctuations in the prices of RINs and natural gas in the future.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Revenues attributable to yield in our Renewable Energy segment increased $11 million in 2025 as compared to prior year primarily driven by increases in natural gas and electricity pricing partially offset by declines in RINs pricing.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Through our Waste Management Renewable Energy (“Renewable Energy”) segment, we are also a leading developer, operator and owner of landfill gas-to-energy facilities in the U.S. and Canada that produce renewable electricity and renewable natural gas (“RNG”), which is a significant source of fuel that we allocate to our natural gas fleet.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Included within our Collection and Disposal businesses are landfills having (i) 19 third-party power generating facilities converting our landfill gas to fuel electricity generators; (ii) 17 third-party RNG facilities processing landfill gas to be sold to natural gas suppliers and (iii) nine third-party projects delivering our landfill gas by pipeline to industrial customers as a direct substitute for fossil fuels in industrial processes. In return for providing our landfill gas, we receive royalties from each facility, including the benefit of a 15% royalty from our Renewable Energy segment based on net operating revenue generated through the sale of RNG, renewable identification numbers (“RINs”), electricity and capacity, Renewable Energy Credits (“RECs”) and related environmental attributes from the 86 landfill beneficial use renewable energy projects owned by Renewable Energy on our active landfills, which is eliminated in consolidation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“The revenues from these facilities are primarily generated through (i) the sale of captured and converted landfill methane gas; (ii) the sale of RINs under the RFS program implemented by the EPA; (iii) sale of Low Carbon Fuel credits designed to stimulate the use of low-carbon fuels and (iv) the sale of energy (electricity and capacity) and associated RECs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Automation and robotics

Technology

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Research, development and implementation of enhanced technology often requires significant spending that may divert capital investment away from our traditional business operations. We may experience difficulties or delays in the research, development, production and/or marketing of new products and services or implementation of technologies in which we have invested or acquired, which may negatively impact our operating results and prevent us from recouping or realizing a return on these investments and acquisitions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We may be unsuccessful in implementing our technology-led automation and optimization strategy and other improvements to operational efficiency and such efforts may not yield the intended result. ● We may not be able to maintain cost savings achieved, including through our automation and optimization or acquisition integration efforts, due to inflationary cost pressures or otherwise. ● Execution of our growth strategy, including acquisitions and expansion of operations, has caused, and may in the future cause, us to incur substantial additional indebtedness, which may divert capital away from our traditional business operations and other financial plans. ● Expansion of our Recycling Processing and Sales and Renewable Energy segments may introduce additional compliance and regulatory risks and additional volatility to our financial performance.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our Company is continuing our multi-year commitment to strategic investments in technology that automate and innovate our operations, improve the customer experience, provide alternatives to traditional disposal and maximize the resource value of waste.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We continue to invest in our people through paying a competitive market wage, investing in our digital platform and providing training for our team members. We remain committed to our investment in recycling automation, which reduces costs and increases throughput, positioning us to overcome commodity price headwinds and deliver a differentiated service.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Circular economy and recycling

Regulation

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“However, customers increasingly expect more of their waste materials to be recovered and those waste streams are becoming more complex. In addition, many state and local governments mandate diversion, recycling and waste reduction at the source and prohibit the disposal of certain types of waste at landfills.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“In addition, we have made significant investments in our Recycling Processing and Sales and Renewable Energy segments. Timing and achievement of the results and benefits anticipated from these investments may be impacted by the numerous risks and uncertainties including financial and operating performance; availability of technology and financing; compliance with regulations; inability to develop, obtain or scale necessary equipment; technology and innovations; challenges arising from the availability or cost of materials and infrastructure; difficulty obtaining regulatory approvals or permits; commodity price fluctuation and general economic conditions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“As companies, individuals and communities look for ways to be more sustainable, we promote our comprehensive services that go beyond our core business of collecting and disposing of waste in order to meet their needs. This includes expanding traditional recycling services, increasing organics collection and processing, providing medical waste services and expanding our renewable energy projects to meet the evolving needs of our diverse customer base.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Additionally, through our Recycling Processing and Sales segment, we are a leading recycler in the U.S. and Canada, handling materials that include paper, cardboard, glass, plastic and metal.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: EU climate and energy policy strengthens

Electricity

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The fees we charge for our services generally include applicable fees, such as our energy surcharge, which are intended to pass through to customers for direct and indirect costs incurred.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Revenues attributable to yield in our Renewable Energy segment increased $11 million in 2025 as compared to prior year primarily driven by increases in natural gas and electricity pricing partially offset by declines in RINs pricing.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Included within our Collection and Disposal businesses are landfills having (i) 19 third-party power generating facilities converting our landfill gas to fuel electricity generators; (ii) 17 third-party RNG facilities processing landfill gas to be sold to natural gas suppliers and (iii) nine third-party projects delivering our landfill gas by pipeline to industrial customers as a direct substitute for fossil fuels in industrial processes. In return for providing our landfill gas, we receive royalties from each facility, including the benefit of a 15% royalty from our Renewable Energy segment based on net operating revenue generated through the sale of RNG, renewable identification numbers (“RINs”), electricity and capacity, Renewable Energy Credits (“RECs”) and related environmental attributes from the 86 landfill beneficial use renewable energy projects owned by Renewable Energy on our active landfills, which is eliminated in consolidation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Data centres strengthens, Electrification strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Power grid expansion

Healthcare and hospitals

End markets

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We are also subject to additional laws and regulations in the U.S. and internationally concerning transportation, management and disposal or destruction of medical waste streams, including regulations that govern the definition, generation, segregation, handling, packaging, transportation, treatment, storage and disposal or destruction of medical waste and controlled substances waste, along with extensive recordkeeping and documentation requirements. Our secure information destruction services are subject to additional laws and regulations regarding proper handling and protection of personal and confidential information.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“(“Stericycle”), our Healthcare Solutions segment provides regulated waste and compliance services (“RWCS”) and secure information destruction (“SID”) services in the U.S., Canada and Western Europe that protect people and brands, promote health and well-being and safeguard the environment. Additionally, through our Recycling Processing and Sales segment, we are a leading recycler in the U.S. and Canada, handling materials that include paper, cardboard, glass, plastic and metal.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Healthcare Solutions Our Healthcare Solutions segment includes (i) RWCS which provide compliance programs and collection, processing, and disposal of regulated and specialized waste, including medical, pharmaceutical and hazardous waste and (ii) SID services, which provide for the collection of personal and confidential information for secure destruction and recycling of sorted office paper.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Ageing population strengthens, GLP-1 and obesity treatment mixed effect

IT operations and cloud

Raw materials and inputs

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our Company, our customers, and the economy in general are increasingly dependent on continuous information technology systems and digital tools to conduct operations. This dependence spans nearly all areas of our business, from overseeing and controlling critical infrastructure to processing and securing proprietary and sensitive information.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Systems that increase our utilization of, and dependency on, third-party cloud computing services and digital platforms also increase various technology risks, including potential exposure to cyber incidents, loss of data, fraud, internal control challenges and other disruptions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“We may be unsuccessful in implementing our technology-led automation and optimization strategy and other improvements to operational efficiency and such efforts may not yield the intended result. ● We may not be able to maintain cost savings achieved, including through our automation and optimization or acquisition integration efforts, due to inflationary cost pressures or otherwise. ● Execution of our growth strategy, including acquisitions and expansion of operations, has caused, and may in the future cause, us to incur substantial additional indebtedness, which may divert capital away from our traditional business operations and other financial plans. ● Expansion of our Recycling Processing and Sales and Renewable Energy segments may introduce additional compliance and regulatory risks and additional volatility to our financial performance.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Utilities

End markets

Market

“Through our Waste Management Renewable Energy (“Renewable Energy”) segment, we are also a leading developer, operator and owner of landfill gas-to-energy facilities in the U.S. and Canada that produce renewable electricity and renewable natural gas (“RNG”), which is a significant source of fuel that we allocate to our natural gas fleet.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“The electricity is then sold to public utilities, municipal utilities or power cooperatives.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“For 17 of these projects, the landfill gas is processed to pipeline quality RNG and then sold to natural gas suppliers.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Artificial intelligence

Technology

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Artificial intelligence could disrupt certain aspects of our business and change use of technology in ways that are not yet known. Artificial intelligence technologies are subject to a variety of laws and compliance risk, including intellectual property, data protection and privacy, cybersecurity, consumer protection, competition, and equal opportunity laws, and are expected to be subject to increased regulation and new laws or new applications of existing laws.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“If we are not able to adapt and effectively incorporate potential advantages of artificial intelligence in our business, it may negatively impact our ability to compete. If we are not able to effectively govern the use and manage the risks of artificial intelligence, we may suffer harm to our results of operations and reputation.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Data centres, strengthens Semiconductors and electronic components, strengthens Semiconductor industry

Digitalisation

Technology

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Research, development and implementation of enhanced technology often requires significant spending that may divert capital investment away from our traditional business operations. We may experience difficulties or delays in the research, development, production and/or marketing of new products and services or implementation of technologies in which we have invested or acquired, which may negatively impact our operating results and prevent us from recouping or realizing a return on these investments and acquisitions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“Our Company is continuing our multi-year commitment to strategic investments in technology that automate and innovate our operations, improve the customer experience, provide alternatives to traditional disposal and maximize the resource value of waste.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Cybersecurity (products and services) strengthens, Public investment and infrastructure strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens IT consulting and public-sector IT

EU climate and energy policy

Regulation

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“RINs and RECs prices generally fluctuate in response to regulations enacted by the Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) or other regulatory bodies, as well as changes in supply and demand.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Market

“Renewable Energy also generates (i) RINs under the Renewable Fuel Standard (“RFS”) program; (ii) other credits under a variety of state programs associated with the use of RNG in our compressed natural gas fleet and (iii) RECs associated with the production of electricity. The RINs, RECs, and other credits are sold to counterparties who are obligated under the regulatory programs and have a responsibility to procure RINs, RECs, and other credits proportionate to their fossil fuel production and imports.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Circular economy and recycling, strengthens Energy efficiency

Beer and beverages

End markets

Market

“Additionally, a weak market for consumer goods, or reduction in international trade due to tariffs or other factors, can significantly decrease demand by paper mills for recycled corrugated cardboard used in packaging, which can constrict availability of counterparties and negatively impact commodity prices and our operating income and cash flows.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Grain and agricultural commodities strengthens, Consumer preference shifts mixed effect, Packaging weakens

Industrial manufacturing

End markets

Market

“For 24 of these projects, the gas is used at the landfill or delivered by pipeline to industrial customers as a direct substitute for fossil fuels in industrial processes.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Public sector

End markets

Market

“We provide service to a number of governmental entities, municipalities, and large national accounts.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Shipping and logistics

End markets

Market

“Overview We are North America’s leading provider of comprehensive environmental solutions, primarily providing services throughout the United States (“U.S.”) and Canada. We partner with our customers and the communities we serve to manage and reduce waste at each stage from collection to disposal, while recovering valuable resources and creating clean, renewable energy. We own or operate the largest network of landfills throughout the U.S. and Canada.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Carbon tax and ETS prices weakens, Global trade volumes strengthens, Fuel strengthens

Wind power

Technology

StrategyPositive impact: strengthens

“In addition, we have made significant investments in our Recycling Processing and Sales and Renewable Energy segments. Timing and achievement of the results and benefits anticipated from these investments may be impacted by the numerous risks and uncertainties including financial and operating performance; availability of technology and financing; compliance with regulations; inability to develop, obtain or scale necessary equipment; technology and innovations; challenges arising from the availability or cost of materials and infrastructure; difficulty obtaining regulatory approvals or permits; commodity price fluctuation and general economic conditions.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Interest rates weakens, Energy security strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Steel, strengthens Rare earths and critical raw materials, strengthens Renewables auctions and subsidies, strengthens Power grid expansion

Business cycle and GDP growth

Macro

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“In addition to the risks set forth above, implementation of our business strategy could be affected by other factors beyond our control, such as increased competition, legal developments, government regulation, global geopolitical instability, general economic conditions, increased operating costs and changes in industry trends.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Our business is directly affected by changes in consumer trends and economic factors that are outside of our control, including consumer preferences and priorities, consumer confidence, inflation, interest rates and access to capital markets. A weak economy generally results in decreased consumer spending and decreases in volumes of waste generated, which negatively impacts the ability to grow through new business or service upgrades, and may result in customer turnover and reduction in customers’ waste service needs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“During periods of economic weakness, governmental entities and municipalities can suffer significant financial difficulties, due in part to reduced tax revenue and/or high-cost structures. During these periods, such entities, and our non-governmental customers, could be unable to pay amounts owed to us or renew contracts with us at previous or increased rates.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our industry is directly affected by changes in general economic factors, including increases and decreases in consumer spending, business expansions and construction activity. These factors generally correlate to volumes of waste generated and impact our revenue.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Negative economic conditions and other macroeconomic trends can and have caused customers to reduce their service needs. Such negative economic conditions, in addition to competitor actions, can impact our strategy to negotiate, renew, or expand service contracts and grow our business.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Global trade volumes, strengthens Construction

Cyber attacks and IT security risk

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The information technology systems and networks that we, our customers, suppliers, and other third parties rely on can be vulnerable to disruptions from cyberattacks, power failures, telecommunications outages, major events like natural disasters, acts of war or terrorism, employee errors, and other unexpected or uncontrollable occurrences.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We are regularly the target of attempted cyber intrusions, have experienced cyber intrusions, and anticipate continuing to be subject to such attempts as cyber intrusions become increasingly sophisticated and more difficult to predict and protect against. Technological advancements, including the progression of the capabilities of artificial intelligence, also increase the risk, likelihood and precision of cyber incidents.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Although we believe that the probability of occurrence of a significant cybersecurity incident is less than likely, if such an incident were to occur, the impact on the Company could be substantial. The magnitude of future cyber intrusions that result in a theft, destruction, loss, misappropriation, or release of sensitive and/or confidential information (belonging to us or third parties) or intellectual property, or material interference with our information technology systems or the technology systems of third parties on which we rely cannot be predicted, such incidents could result in material business disruption, direct financial loss, remediation costs, reputational harm, brand damage, alleged violation of privacy laws, loss of customers, potential regulatory investigations and enforcement or private litigation liability and competitive disadvantage.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Cybersecurity (products and services)

Renewables auctions and subsidies

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Changes to federal and state renewable fuel policies could affect the financial performance of our Renewable Energy segment. The primary drivers of value for renewable fuel produced at our landfills are tax policies, such as the federal tax credits for investments in RNG production under the IRA and OBBBA, and federal and state incentive programs, such as the federal RFS program, the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard and similar state programs that promote the production and use of renewable transportation fuels, which are all subject to change.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“RINs prices generally respond to regulations enacted by the EPA, as well as fluctuations in supply and demand. The value of the RINs is set through a market established by the RFS program, which market has historically been volatile. While the previous rules under the RFS program reflected the outsized role of biogas under the program and delivered reforms benefiting the solid waste sector, the current administration has retroactively lowered 2024 blending volumes, proposed reductions for 2025, set low targets for 2026–2027 and begun to grant small refinery exemptions from RFS program requirements.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Wind power strengthens

Tariffs and trade policy

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Significant restrictions and tariffs on foreign trade have a negative impact on our recycling export business and our cross-border commerce, particularly with Canada, decrease paper mills’ demand for recycled corrugated cardboard used in packaging and increase the cost of certain equipment and other materials used in our operations that we procure from outside the U.S., including our trucks and certain equipment used to implement our sustainability growth strategy.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Additionally, a weak market for consumer goods, or reduction in international trade due to tariffs or other factors, can significantly decrease demand by paper mills for recycled corrugated cardboard used in packaging, which can constrict availability of counterparties and negatively impact commodity prices and our operating income and cash flows.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Geopolitical uncertainty strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Global trade volumes

Climate change and extreme weather

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Providing environmental and waste management services, including constructing and operating landfills, transfer stations, processing facilities, recycling facilities and other disposal or destruction facilities, and landfill gas-to-energy facilities, involves risks such as truck accidents, equipment defects, malfunctions and failures, and improper use of dangerous equipment. Additionally, we closely monitor and manage landfills to minimize the risk of waste mass instability, releases of hazardous materials, and odors that are sometimes triggered by weather or natural disasters.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverMixed impact: mixed

“Our operating revenues and volumes typically experience seasonal increases in the summer months, that are reflected in second and third quarter revenues and results of operations. Service or operational disruptions caused by severe storms, extended periods of inclement weather or climate events can significantly affect the operating results of the geographic areas affected.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“For example, wildfires influenced by climate change can damage landfill infrastructure such as gas collection systems, and extreme rain events and flooding in low-lying areas enhanced by sea level rise can result in greater maintenance expenses at our facilities, service disruption, erosion of the protective vegetative caps on our landfills and increased volumes of leachate to manage.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“The mandated fees are primarily related to fees and taxes assessed by various state, county and municipal government agencies at our landfills and transfer stations, particularly in our West Tier as a result of wildfire activity.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Volume growth during 2025 was led by our landfill business, with notable increases in special waste and municipal solid waste volumes in the West Tier, particularly driven by wildfire clean-up efforts.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Agriculture and food production

Interest rates

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Accelerated and pronounced economic pressures, such as rising interest rates and inflationary cost pressures, have in the past and may in the future impact our cost structure and capital expenditures.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“As of December 31, 2025, we had $1.8 billion of tax-exempt bonds with term interest rate periods that expire within the next 12 months, which is prior to their scheduled maturities. If market dynamics resulted in repricing of our tax-exempt bonds at significantly higher interest rates, we would incur increased interest expenses that may negatively affect our operating results and cash flows.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Financial Risks Our capital requirements and our business strategy could increase our expenses, cause us to change our growth and development plans, or result in an inability to maintain our desired credit profile. If economic conditions or other risks and uncertainties cause a significant reduction in our cash flows from operations, we may reduce or suspend capital expenditures, growth and acquisition activity, implementation of our business strategy, dividend declarations or share repurchases. We may choose to incur indebtedness to pay for these activities, although our access to capital markets is not assured, and we may not be able to incur indebtedness at a cost that is consistent with current borrowing rates.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“We have $2.9 billion of debt as of December 31, 2025 that is exposed to changes in market interest rates within the next 12 months, associated with our commercial paper borrowings and tax-exempt bonds. If interest rates increase, our interest expense would also increase, lowering our net income and decreasing our cash flow.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Variability in economic conditions, including inflation, interest rates, employment trends and supply chain reliability, can create risk and uncertainty in financial outlook.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Public debt and fiscal policy strengthens, Inflation strengthens
Chains out: this weakens Construction, weakens Real estate, weakens Wind power, weakens Housing market, weakens Office and commercial property, weakens Residential rental, weakens Residential construction

Fuel

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Revenues from our collection operations are influenced by factors such as collection frequency, type of collection equipment furnished, type and volume or weight of the waste collected, distance to the disposal facility or recycling facility and our disposal costs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“This increase was partially offset by a decrease of approximately 3% in average market prices for diesel fuel and reduced diesel consumption due to declines in residential collection volumes.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Fluctuations in the price and supply of natural gas or diesel fuel could substantially increase our operating expenses; a reduction in the existing cost differential between natural gas and diesel fuel could materially reduce the benefits we anticipate from our investment in natural gas vehicles.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

InputNegative impact: weakens

“Fuel — The increase in fuel costs was primarily due to our recent acquisitions and the expiration of the federal alternative fuel tax credit on December 31, 2024.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics, strengthens Aviation and travel

Global trade volumes

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Significant restrictions and tariffs on foreign trade have a negative impact on our recycling export business and our cross-border commerce, particularly with Canada, decrease paper mills’ demand for recycled corrugated cardboard used in packaging and increase the cost of certain equipment and other materials used in our operations that we procure from outside the U.S., including our trucks and certain equipment used to implement our sustainability growth strategy.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Additionally, a weak market for consumer goods, or reduction in international trade due to tariffs or other factors, can significantly decrease demand by paper mills for recycled corrugated cardboard used in packaging, which can constrict availability of counterparties and negatively impact commodity prices and our operating income and cash flows.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Tariffs and trade policy weakens, Geopolitical uncertainty weakens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Shipping and logistics

Ageing population

Geography

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“In addition, in the U.S. and elsewhere, the healthcare industry is evolving to meet competing demands for increased healthcare coverage of a growing and aging population and economic pressures to reduce healthcare costs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Healthcare and hospitals, strengthens Medical devices, strengthens Hearing aids and hearing care

Chemicals and specialty chemicals

Raw materials and inputs

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Expenditures could be accelerated or materially exceed our accruals due to earlier than expected closure of landfills; the types of waste collected and manner in which it is transported and disposed of, including actions taken in the past by companies we have acquired or third-party landfill operators; environmental regulatory changes; new information about waste types previously collected, or other emerging contaminants. Similar issues can also result in a significant increase in operating costs; for example, developments in recent years related to management of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (“PFAS”) have increased our landfill operating costs.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Construction

End markets

DriverPositive impact: strengthens

“Our industry is directly affected by changes in general economic factors, including increases and decreases in consumer spending, business expansions and construction activity. These factors generally correlate to volumes of waste generated and impact our revenue.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Interest rates weakens, Housing market strengthens, Public investment and infrastructure strengthens, Business cycle and GDP growth strengthens, Reconstruction of Ukraine strengthens

Consumer preference shifts

End markets

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“While sustainability remains a priority for many customers, we have observed a shift in prioritization by some companies with respect to sustainability objectives, including a decreased willingness to pay premium prices for recycled materials or enhanced sustainability solutions, which impacts demand for, and viability of, some of our offerings.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this mixed effect Beer and beverages

ESG and sustainability reporting

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Public statements with respect to sustainability matters are subject to heightened scrutiny related to the risk of potential “greenwashing,” i.e., allegations of misleading information or false claims overstating potential sustainability benefits made by governmental authorities, non-governmental organizations and other private actors. An inability to implement such policies, practices, and internal controls and maintain compliance with laws and regulations, or a perception among stakeholders that our sustainability disclosures and goals are insufficient or our goals are unattainable, could harm our reputation and competitive position and negatively impact our stock price and business performance.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Financial regulation

Regulation

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The legislative and regulatory framework for security, privacy and data protection issues worldwide is rapidly evolving and is likely to remain uncertain for the foreseeable future. We collect, use, share, retain, delete and otherwise process certain personal data and other sensitive information in connection with our operations and are subject to increasingly demanding U.S. and international laws and regulations related to data protection and privacy and the protection of confidential information. These laws and regulations are inconsistent across jurisdictions and are subject to evolving interpretations.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Geopolitical uncertainty

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Geopolitical conflicts and the resulting international responses may also exacerbate market disruption, leading to volatility in commodity prices, impacts on the availability and cost of energy, increased cyberattacks, and vendor and supplier disruptions across the global supply chain.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this strengthens Defence budgets, strengthens Energy security, strengthens Tariffs and trade policy, weakens Global trade volumes, strengthens Sea freight and freight rates, weakens Reconstruction of Ukraine

Hybrid work and office use

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“The volume of such material may be impacted by macroeconomic trends associated with manufacturing and industrial markets, healthcare market dynamics, and trends associated with an increase in work-from-home arrangements and electronic and digital record keeping. Long-term trends resulting from these factors could reduce the demand for these services.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains out: this weakens Office and commercial property

M&A and consolidation

Macro

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“As a result of these dynamics, hospital networks are consolidating physician practices into their networks, independent practices are consolidating, and healthcare providers are focused on cutting costs within their businesses. These changes and consolidation of the customer base increase the competitive nature of the healthcare waste industry and exert downward pricing pressure, which could adversely affect our financial results.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Cybersecurity (products and services)

Technology

DriverNegative impact: weakens

“Geopolitical conflicts and the resulting international responses may also exacerbate market disruption, leading to volatility in commodity prices, impacts on the availability and cost of energy, increased cyberattacks, and vendor and supplier disruptions across the global supply chain.”

Annual report 2025A · The company itself

Chains in: Cyber attacks and IT security risk strengthens
Chains out: this strengthens Digitalisation

Competitors mentioned in the report

No named competitors in the report.

Financial figures

Revenue
latest fiscal year
25.2 bn USD
Revenue growth
vs. the year before, same method
14.2 %
EBITDA
reported by the company
7.17 bn USD
Net debt
debt incl. leasing minus cash
23.01 bn USD
Diluted EPS
per share
6.7 USD

Source: 10-K (SEC) A. See the report

Criteria

Profit✓
Growing✓
Healthy balance sheet✗

Only the criteria that can be computed from financial statements on this page. The remaining criteria (such as price and dividend) need a share price and are in the analysis.

Figures are in the report's currency (USD), not converted to DKK. Quotes are shown as the company's own words in English.

This page describes what the company itself writes. It isn't an assessment and isn't a recommendation. Run an analysis to see how the company connects to your view.